Daniel Rester’s September Nomination Predictions for the 96th Oscars

Oscar season is here!

The summer movie season is now over, with a domination from “Barbenheimer.” The Telluride, Venice, and Toronto festivals have just ended, where Poor Things provided the most electricity among the fests. The New York Film Festival is around the corner, followed by end-of-season surprises in November and December (The Color Purple and Napoleon are big question marks). It’s an exciting time to be a movie fan as Oscar season is heating up and great movies are releasing left and right. 

As of now, September 17th, I predict Oscar night will be dominated by Poor Things, Oppenheimer, The Color Purple (unless it significantly underwhelms), Barbie, and Killers of the Flower Moon in terms of nomination amounts, ranging from nine to eleven nominations each. Maestro and The Holdovers are looking strong too as I have each of them currently running with six nominations each. The buzz is really alive with all of these films.  

Currently, I believe it will be a Poor Things vs. Oppenheimer showdown in terms of most wins and for what is getting the top prize of Best Picture. I have Poor Things walking away with four wins and Oppenheimer with seven wins, including Best Director and Best Picture. Christopher Nolan has the “it’s his time” narrative and it doesn’t hurt that Oppenheimer has become the highest-grossing biopic ever.    

Here are all of my Oscar predictions as of now, minus the short film categories. The *** indicates who I think will be the winner in each category. I also include nomination and win totals at the bottom.

Side note: Yes, Barbie might be campaigning in Original Screenplay, but I believe the Academy will shift it to Adapted Screenplay since it is clearly based off of a previous property. This has happened before with other films, such as Moonlight (2016).

Best Picture

Anatomy of a Fall 

Barbie 

The Color Purple 

The Holdovers 

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

***Oppenheimer

Past Lives 

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest 

Other Possibilities:

American Fiction

Napoleon

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Director

Alexander Payne – The Holdovers 

***Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Greta Gerwig – Barbie

Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things

Other Possibilities:

Celine Song – Past Lives 

Justine Triet – Anatomy of a Fall 

Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest 

Best Actress

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

***Emma Stone – Poor Things

Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple

Greta Lee – Past Lives 

Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall 

Other Possibilities: 

Annette Bening – Nyad

Cailee Spaeny – Priscilla 

Margot Robbie – Barbie

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

***Colman Domingo – Rustin

Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Other Possibilities: 

Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers 

Barry Keoghan – Saltburn

Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction 

Best Supporting Actress

Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple

Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

***Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Penelope Cruz – Ferrari 

Other Possibilities: 

Jodie Foster – Nyad

Julianne Moore – May December 

Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple

Best Supporting Actor

Colman Domingo – The Color Purple 

Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things 

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

***Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer 

Ryan Gosling – Barbie 

Other Possibilities: 

Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers 

John Magaro – Past Lives 

Willem Dafoe – Poor Things

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction 

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Oppenheimer

***Poor Things

Other Possibilities: 

All of Us Strangers 

The Color Purple 

The Zone of Interest 

Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall 

The Holdovers

Maestro

May December 

***Past Lives

Other Possibilities: 

Dream Scenario 

Rustin

Saltburn

Best Cinematography 

El Conde

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Maestro 

***Oppenheimer 

Poor Things 

Other Possibilities: 

The Color Purple 

Napoleon 

Saltburn 

Best Costume Design 

Barbie 

The Color Purple

Napoleon 

***Poor Things 

Wonka 

Other Possibilities: 

The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer 

Best Editing 

The Color Purple 

The Holdovers 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

***Oppenheimer 

Poor Things 

Other Possibilities: 

Barbie 

Ferrari 

Maestro 

Best Production Design 

Asteroid City 

***Barbie 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Poor Things 

Wonka

Other Possibilities:

The Color Purple 

Napoleon 

Oppenheimer 

Best Animated Feature 

The Boy and the Heron 

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nuggets 

Elemental

***Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Wish 

Other Possibilities:

Nimona

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Barbie

The Color Purple

Maestro

***Poor Things

Rustin

Other Possibilities: 

The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

Napoleon

Wonka

Best Sound

The Color Purple

The Creator

***Oppenheimer

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

The Zone of Interest

Other Possibilities: 

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Rebel Moon

Best Visual Effects

***The Creator

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

The Little Mermaid

The Marvels

Rebel Moon

Other Possibilities: 

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Original Score

The Boy and the Heron 

The Color Purple

***Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Other Possibilities: 

Elemental

Past Lives

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Best Original Song

“Better Place” – Trolls Band Together

***“I’m Just Ken” – Barbie

“Peaches” – The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Untitled Original Song – The Color Purple

“What Was I Made For?” – Barbie

Other Possibilities: 

“All Love is Love” – Dicks: The Musical

“Am I Dreaming” – Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

“Road to Freedom” – Rustin

Best Documentary Feature

American Symphony

***Beyond Utopia

The Eternal Memory

The Pigeon Tunnel

Stamped from the Beginning

Other Possibilities: 

Anselm

Little Richard: I Am Everything

Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

Best International Feature

About Dry Grasses – Turkey

***Anatomy of a Fall – France

Perfect Days – Japan

The Teachers’ Lounge – Germany

The Zone of Interest – United Kingdom

Other Possibilities: 

Fallen Leaves – Finland

La Chimera – Italy

Omen – Belgium 

Total Nomination and Win Counts: 

Poor Things – 11 nominations, winning 4

Oppenheimer – 10 nominations, winning 7

The Color Purple – 10 nominations, winning 0

Barbie – 9 nominations, winning 2

Killers of the Flower Moon – 9 nominations, winning 1

The Holdovers – 6 nominations, winning 0

Maestro – 6 nominations, winning 0

Anatomy of a Fall – 4 nominations, winning 1

Past Lives – 3 nominations, winning 1

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – 3 nominations, winning 1

The Zone of Interest – 3 nominations, winning 0

Rustin – 2 nominations, winning 1

The Creator – 2 nominations, winning 1

The Boy and the Heron – 2 nominations, winning 0 

Wonka – 2 nominations, winning 0 

Beyond Utopia – 1 nomination, winning 1

Ferrari – 1 nomination, winning 0

American Fiction – 1 nomination, winning 0

May December – 1 nomination, winning 0

El Conde – 1 nomination, winning 0

Napoleon – 1 nomination, winning 0

Asteroid City – 1 nomination, winning 0

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nuggets – 1 nomination, winning 0

Elemental – 1 nomination, winning 0

Wish – 1 nomination, winning 0

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Little Mermaid – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Marvels – 1 nomination, winning 0

Rebel Moon – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Super Mario Bros. Movie – 1 nomination, winning 0

Trolls Band Together – 1 nomination, winning 0

American Symphony – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Eternal Memory – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Pigeon Tunnel – 1 nomination, winning 0

Stamped from the Beginning – 1 nomination, winning 0

About Dry Grasses – 1 nomination, winning 0

Perfect Days – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Teachers’ Lounge – 1 nomination, winning 0

Written by
Daniel Rester is a writer for the We Live Film portion of We Live Entertainment. He is a Southern Oregon University alumnus and has a Bachelor of Science degree with a double major in Communication (Film, Television, and Convergent Media) and Emerging Media and Digital Arts. He has been involved with writing and directing short films for years. Rester also won 2nd place in the Feature Screenplay Competition in the 2015 Oregon Film Awards for his screenplay "Emma Was Here," which is currently in post-production and will be Rester's feature directorial debut.

Your Vote

0 0

Lost Password

Please enter your username or email address. You will receive a link to create a new password via email.