Scott Menzel’s Final Oscar Predictions

We are officially two days away from Hollywood’s biggest night and that means it is time for me to post my final Oscar predictions. While it is very likely that there will be some surprises at the Oscars as there are every year, I am feeling pretty confident in the majority of my picks this year. It has been a very interesting awards season with a lot of surprises occurring in the last couple of weeks from SAG, PGA, and DGA. In full transparency, there are about five categories in this year’s awards race that I feel are very up in the air. The categories that I don’t feel as confident about are Best Actress, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Original Screenplay, Best Original Song, and Best Director.

It is very possible that this will be an Oscars unlike any other which will keep things interesting seeing how things play out on Sunday evening.

Now without any further delay, here are my predictions for all 23 Oscar categories

Best Picture

Who will win: CODA
Who I want to win: CODA
Possible upset: Belfast

Best Actor

Who will win: Will Smith for King Richard
Who I want to win: Andrew Garfield for tick, tick…BOOM!
Possible upset: Andrew Garfield for tick, tick…BOOM!

Best Actress

Who will win: Kristen Stewart for Spencer
Who I want to win: Kristen Stewart for Spencer
Possible upset: Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Supporting Actor

Who will win: Troy Kotsur for CODA
Who I want to win: Troy Kotsur for CODA
Possible upset: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog

Best Supporting Actress

Who will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Who I want to win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Possible upset: Aunjanue Ellis for King Richard

Best Director

Who will win: Steven Spielberg for West Side Story
Who I want to win: Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
Possible upset: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog

Best Adapted Screenplay

Who will win: Siân Heder for CODA
Who I want to win: Siân Heder for CODA
Possible upset: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog

Best Original Screenplay

Who will win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Who I want to win: Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up
Possible upset: Kenneth Branagh for Belfast

Best Animated Feature Film

Who will win: Encanto
Who I want to win: The Mitchells vs. The Machines
Possible upset: The Mitchells vs. The Machines

Best Animated Short Film

Who will win: Robin Robin
Who I want to win: Robin Robin 
Possible upset: The Windshield Wiper

Best International Film

Who will win: Drive My Car
Who I want to win: Drive My Car
Possible upset: The Worst Person in the World

Best Documentary Film

Who will win: Summer of Soul
Who I want to win: Summer of Soul
Possible upset: Flee

Best Documentary Short Film

Who will win: The Queen of Basketball
Who I want to win: The Queen of Basketball
Possible upset: Audible 

Best Live Action Short Film

Who will win: The Long Goodbye
Who I want to win: The Long Goodbye
Possible upset: This is a lock

Best Cinematography

Who will win: Greig Fraser for Dune
Who I want to win: Grieg Fraser for Dune
Possible upset: Janusz Kaminski for West Side Story

Best Original Song

Who will win: No Time to Die from No Time to Die
Who I want to win: Dos Oruguitas from Encanto
Possible upset: Dos Oruguitas from Encanto

Best Score

Who will win: Hans Zimmer for Dune
Who I want to win: Nicholas Britell for Don’t Look Up
Possible upset: This is a lock

Best Costume Design

Who will win: Jenny Beavan for Cruella
Who I want to win: Jenny Beavan for Cruella
Possible upset (very unlikely): Massimo Cantini Parrini and Jacqueline Durran for Cyrano

Best Production Design

Who will win: Zsuzsanna Sipos and Patrice Vermette for Dune
Who I want to win: Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau for Nightmare Alley 
Possible upset: Tamara Deverell and Shane Vieau for Nightmare Alley 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Who will win: Justin Raleigh, Stephanie Ingram, and Linda Dowds for The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Who I want to win: Justin Raleigh, Stephanie Ingram, and Linda Dowds for The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Possible upset: Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne, and Julia Vernon for Cruella

Best Sound

Who will win: Dune
Who I want to win: No Time to Die
Possible upset: No Time to Die 

Best Film Editing

Who will win: Joe Walker for Dune
Who I want to win: Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum for Tick, Tick… Boom! 
Possible upset: Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum for Tick, Tick… Boom! 

Best Visual Effects

Who will win: Dune
Who I want to win: Spider-Man: No Way Home
Possible upset: This is a lock

Written by
Born in New Jersey, Scott D. Menzel has been a film fanatic since he was three years old. Growing up, he watched as many movies as he could and was highly influenced by Tim Burton, John Hughes, Robert Zemeckis, and Steven Spielberg. Scott has an Associates Degree in Marketing, a Bachelors in Mass Media, Communications and a Masters in Electronic Media. He has been writing film reviews under the alias of MovieManMenzel since 2003 and started his writing career as a contributing critic at IMDB.com and Joblo.com. In 2009, Scott launched MovieManMenzel.com where he posted several of his film reviews but in 2011 decided to shut down the site when he launched We Live Film.com, which he founded. In 2015, We Live Film became We Live Entertainment. The domain name changed occurred after months of debate but was done so that he and his fellow staff members could write about anything and everything in the world of entertainment.

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