Scott Menzel’s Predictions for The 80th Annual Golden Globe Awards

After being ridiculed and attacked by almost everyone in Hollywood for about two years straight, the Golden Globes are back, and I, for one, couldn’t be more excited about their return. The organization has gone to great lengths to correct issues and revamp its business model and practices. Hollywood demanded change from the HFPA, and they made some BIG changes.

While the organization’s past isn’t without fault, most of its problems stemmed from Hollywood’s previous failure to investigate problems as they happened. Under the old regime, the HFPA was universally hated. Everyone from the studios and PR Reps to those who worked the rooms during junkets hated working with the HFPA. However, changes have been made, and from what I heard, a lot of it has already been implemented. We already know they expanded their membership, including their promise of adding black members. One must abide by strict rules and guidelines as a member. The HFPA has taken their negative criticism very seriously. They made mistakes and have acknowledged them. We must stop hating this organization and give them another chance to prove themselves. The Golden Globes are a staple of Hollywood, whether you like it or not. They have been around for 80 years and are a big part of awards season. I believe they will continue for years to come as long as they remain open to change and are willing to adapt to the new Hollywood landscape.

Now that I have gotten that out of the way, let’s get to the fun part; predicting who will win. I like to keep this relatively short and sweet because whenever someone looks at final predictions, they only really want to know who the author likes, who they think will win, and who they think might be the upset.

Let’s begin with the TV nominations:

Best Supporting Actor (Limited Series, Anthology Series, or TV Movie)

  • F. Murray Abraham (The White Lotus)
  • Domhnall Gleeson (The Patient)
  • Paul Walter Hauser (Black Bird)
  • Richard Jenkins (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
  • Seth Rogen (Pam and Tommy)

Who will win: Paul Walter Hauser
Who I want to win: Paul Walter Hauser
Possible Upset: Seth Rogen

Best Supporting Actress (Limited Series, Anthology Series or TV Movie)

  • Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)
  • Claire Danes (Fleishman Is in Trouble)
  • Daisy Edgar-Jones (Under the Banner of Heaven)
  • Niecy Nash (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
  • Aubrey Plaza (The White Lotus)

Who will win: Jennifer Coolidge
Who I want to win: Aubrey Plaza
Possible Upset: Aubrey Plaza

Best Actor (Limited Series, Anthology Series or TV Movie)

  • Taron Egerton (Black Bird)
  • Colin Firth (The Staircase)
  • Andrew Garfield (Under the Banner of Heaven)
  • Evan Peters (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
  • Sebastian Stan (Pam and Tommy)

Who will win: Taron Egerton
Who I want to win: Andrew Garfield
Possible Upset: Evan Peters

Best Actress (Limited Series, Anthology Series or TV Movie)

  • Jessica Chastain (George and Tammy)
  • Julia Garner (Inventing Anna)
  • Lily James (Pam and Tommy)
  • Julia Roberts (Gaslit)
  • Amanda Seyfried (The Dropout)

Who will win: Amanda Seyfried
Who I want to win: Amanda Seyfried
Possible Upset: Jessica Chastain

Best Supporting Actor (Musical, Comedy or Drama)

  • John Lithgow (The Old Man)
  • Jonathan Pryce (The Crown)
  • John Turturro (Severance)
  • Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary)
  • Henry Winkler (Barry)

Who will win: John Turturro
Who I want to win: John Turturro
Possible Upset: Henry Winkler

Best Supporting Actress (Musical, Comedy or Drama)

  • Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown)
  • Hannah Einbinder (Hacks)
  • Julia Garner (Ozark)
  • Janelle James (Abbott Elementary)
  • Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary)

Who will win: Sheryl Lee Ralph
Who I want to win: Hannah Einbinder
Possible Upset: Julia Garner

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)

  • Donald Glover (Atlanta)
  • Bill Hader (Barry)
  • Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building)
  • Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building)
  • Jeremy Allen White (The Bear)

Who will win: Bill Hader
Who I want to win: Steve Martin or Martin Short
Possible Upset: Jeremy Allen White

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)

  • Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary)
  • Kaley Cuoco (The Flight Attendant)
  • Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building)
  • Jenna Ortega (Wednesday)
  • Jean Smart (Hacks)

Who will win: Quinta Brunson
Who I want to win: Selena Gomez
Possible Upset: Jean Smart

Best Actor (Drama)

  • Jeff Bridges (The Old Man)
  • Kevin Costner (Yellowstone)
  • Diego Luna (Andor)
  • Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
  • Adam Scott (Severance)

Who will win: Bob Odenkirk
Who I want to win: Adam Scott
Possible Upset: Jeff Bridges

Best Actress (Drama)

  • Emma D’Arcy (House of the Dragon)
  • Laura Linney (Ozark)
  • Imelda Staunton (The Crown)
  • Hilary Swank (Alaska Daily)
  • Zendaya (Euphoria)

Who will win: Zendaya
Who I want to win: Zendaya
Possible Upset: Laura Linney

Best Limited Series, Anthology Series or TV Movie

  • Black Bird
  • Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
  • The Dropout
  • Pam and Tommy
  • The White Lotus

What will win: The White Lotus
What I want to win: The Dropout
Possible Upset: Black Bird

Best Musical or Comedy Series

  • Abbott Elementary
  • The Bear
  • Hacks
  • Only Murders in the Building
  • Wednesday

What will win: Abbott Elementary
What I want to win: Only Murders in the Building
Possible Upset: Wednesday

Best Drama Series

  • Better Call Saul
  • The Crown
  • House of the Dragon
  • Ozark
  • Severance

What will win: Better Call Saul
What I want to win: Severance
Possible Upset: Severance

And now we move into film nominations…

Best Original Song

  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, “Lift Me Up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan Coogler
  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, “Ciao Papa” by Alexandre Desplat, Roeban Katz, Guillermo del Toro
  • RRR, “Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M.M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj
  • Top Gun: Maverick, “Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga, Bloodpop, Benjamin Rice
  • Where the Crawdads Sing, “Carolina” by Taylor Swift

What will win: Hold My Hand
What I want to win: Naatu Naatu
Possible upset: Lift Me Up

Best Original Score

  • Babylon, Justin Hurwitz
  • The Banshees of Inisherin, Carter Burwell
  • The Fabelmans, John Williams
  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, Alexandre Desplat
  • Women Talking, Hildur Guðnadóttir

Who will win: Justin Hurwitz
Who I want to win: Alexandre Desplat
Possible upset: Alexandre Desplat

Best Screenplay

  • The Banshees of Inisherin, Martin McDonagh
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert
  • The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner
  • Tar, Todd Field
  • Women Talking, Sarah Polley

What will win: The Banshees of Inisherin
What I want to win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Possible upset: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Director

  • James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water)
  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
  • Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)
  • Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
  • Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Who will win: Steven Spielberg
Who I want to win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
Possible upset: James Cameron

Best Supporting Actor

  • Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
  • Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
  • Brad Pitt (Babylon)
  • Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
  • Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse)

Who will win: Ke Huy Quan
Who I want to win: Barry Keoghan
Possible upset: Brad Pitt

Best Supporting Actress

  • Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
  • Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
  • Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
  • Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)
  • Carey Mulligan (She Said)

Who will win: Jamie Lee Curtis
Who I want to win: Jamie Lee Curtis
Possible upset: Angela Bassett

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)

  • Diego Calva (Babylon)
  • Daniel Craig (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)
  • Adam Driver (White Noise)
  • Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
  • Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)

Who will win: Colin Farrell
Who I want to win: Ralph Fiennes
Possible upset: Daniel Craig

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)

  • Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris)
  • Margot Robbie (Babylon)
  • Anya Taylor-Joy (The Menu)
  • Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande)
  • Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Who will win: Michelle Yeoh
Who I want to win: Michelle Yeoh
Possible upset: Margot Robbie

Best Actor (Drama)

  • Austin Butler (Elvis)
  • Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
  • Hugh Jackman (The Son)
  • Bill Nighy (Living)
  • Jeremy Pope (The Inspection)

Who will win: Austin Butler
Who I want to win: Brendan Fraser
Possible upset: Brendan Fraser

Best Actress (Drama)

  • Cate Blanchett (Tar)
  • Olivia Colman (Empire of Light)
  • Viola Davis (The Woman King)
  • Ana de Armas (Blonde)
  • Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

Who will win: Cate Blanchett
Who I want to win: Cate Blanchett
Possible upset: Viola Davis

Best Picture (Non-English Language)

  • All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
  • Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
  • Close (Belgium)
  • Decision to Leave (South Korea)
  • RRR (India)

What will win: RRR
What I want to win: RRR
Possible upset: All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Animated Film

  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • Inu-Oh
  • Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
  • Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
  • Turning Red

What will win: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
What I want to win: Marcel the Shell With Shoes On
Possible upset: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)

  • Babylon
  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
  • Triangle of Sadness

What will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
What I want to win: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Possible upset: The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Picture (Drama)

  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • Elvis
  • The Fabelmans
  • Tar
  • Top Gun: Maverick

What will win: Avatar: The Way of Water
What I want to win: Elvis
Possible upset: The Fabelmans

Written by
Born in New Jersey, Scott Menzel has been watching film and television since he was three years old. Growing up, he watched as many movies as he could and was highly influenced by the films of Tim Burton, John Hughes, Robert Zemeckis, and Steven Spielberg. Scott has an Associate's Degree in Marketing, a Bachelor's in Mass Media, Communications, and a Master's in Electronic Media. He has been writing film reviews under the alias of MovieManMenzel since 2003 and started his writing career as a contributing critic at IMDB.com and Joblo.com. In 2009, Scott launched MovieManMenzel.com where he posted several of his film reviews but in 2011 decided to shut down the site when he launched We Live Film.com. In 2015, We Live Film became We Live Entertainment. The domain name change occurred after months of debate but was done so that he and his fellow staff members could write about anything and everything in the world of entertainment.

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