Zoë’s 2023 Academy Awards Predictions – November 4th

Happy Friday, folks! Though there’s little major news in the Oscar world this week (aside from AFI Fest running this weekend, which I’ll be recapping in depth on Monday), I did have the opportunity to catch two major Oscar contenders in the past few days – Maria Schrader’s She Said and Alejandro González Iñárritu’s BARDO – both of which I’d like to analyze from an awards perspective in today’s piece, so while it might be a little lighter than usual, there’s still more than enough to discuss when assessing how these two hotly anticipated titles will play with The Academy. Let’s take a look.

She Said – as most are already aware – is the film adaptation of the novel of the same name by Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey, the two New York Times journalists who exposed Harvey Weinstein’s history of abuse and sexual misconduct against women, with the book chronicling their investigative efforts. Still, in spite of this story’s enduring relevance, ahead of its release, some have been up in arms about the film. Was it too soon to truly get a sense of their piece’s impact on the world and women’s social perils, given how much work still needs to be done? Hadn’t we already heard every angle on this issue imaginable after five years’ worth of analysis and think pieces? And would a “studio movie” about this subject matter be too “sanitized”? Personally, I was enormously emotionally affected by the film, and found that those at my FYC screening here in LA – including a number of awards voters – responded rapturously as well. Despite the somber story being shared here, She Said is ultimately an uplifting (and dare I even say “crowdpleasing”?) affair that elicits continual audience reactions in the form of gasps, applause, and even laughs (Carey Mulligan’s commanding performance is perhaps the most cheer-and-chuckle-worthy). Some on the Film Twitter sphere may say the film is overly self-congratulatory or “‘not artsy enough,” but this is The Academy we’re talking about – they love congratulating themselves and don’t always trend towards the artier titles (plus, I would say the film is actually more “congratulatory” towards the journalists and brave women who broke this story, as opposed to the industry).

Zoe Kazan, Carey Mulligan, Andre Braugher, and Patricia Clarkson in She Said

In a field of ten, I can absolutely see this cracking the Best Picture line-up (it’ll benefit from being a “message movie” that compels one to include it on their ballot for “what it represents” – on top of being a sturdy, well-told story), but what other nominations can it nab? Well, I’d say Best Adapted Screenplay is the next likeliest – it’s a weak field this year, and this is a supremely well-structured script with numerous notable lines and big emotional beats – and I also agree with many others that Carey Mulligan will be a top contender for the Best Supporting Actress award, category fraud be damned. Last week, I went out on a limb to make a case for Kerry Condon as this year’s champion, citing her immense acclaim and that category’s trend towards winners who represented their films’ only rewards since 2014. However, I think that could also be the case for Mulligan, and she also has a few other factors in her favor. For one, in a chaotic year with no clear frontrunner, Mulligan’s performance will be one of the biggest of the bunch, in terms of her showiness (she steals almost every scene she’s in, you miss her when she’s gone, and she gets the most memorable moments) and yes, her screen time (she’s really a co-lead, which means she has even more material to campaign with). She’s also perhaps the biggest name in contention (and a lack of name recognition was always one of Condon’s weaknesses), and she came incredibly close to a win two years ago for Promising Young Woman, meaning that there could be some residual goodwill for her and she may be seen as overdue by several voting contingents in The Academy.

However, even after seeing (and admittedly loving) She Said and Mulligan’s plucky performance, I don’t think she’s a slam dunk for a win either – at least, not yet. Everything I said about Condon’s strengths last week still stands, and given that Jessie Buckley is widely seen as the de facto frontrunner right now – and will likely be a critical darling – she’s in it to win it too. She may run into competition from within her film from Claire Foy (and will voters be as in love with Women Talking as critics?), but many also seem to feel that Buckley has the fuller, and more affecting, character arc, which could help her inch away from Foy as the weeks go by, allowing these two to break free from the The Fighter/The Favourite comparisons. I’ve been told by many to not underestimate The Whale’s Hong Chau either (I will see the film later this month), but while I believe everything I’ve heard/read about how poignant her performance is, I feel that The Whale’s win narrative is primarily centered around Brendan Fraser at the moment, and since I already have him, Michelle Yeoh, and Ke Huy Quan as my other three acting frontrunners, I hesitate to say that A24 will sweep all four races at the moment – but never say never, as Chau sure is having a YEAR between this, The Menu, and Kelly Reichardt’s Showing Up, which played at both the Cannes Film Festival and New York Film Festival, even though it’ll release in 2023. So, expect a lot of shuffling in Best Supporting Actress this entire season, but for now, I might stick with Carey Mulligan as a “soft” frontrunner – pending She Said’s awards performance overall – and continue to re-evaluate as new developments arise.

Daniel Giménez Cacho in Bardo

BARDO is the other “big” contender I caught this week, a film that tanked at the fall film festivals after being labeled as “pretentious” and “impenetrable,” but is now screening at AFI Fest with a re-edited cut, which runs closer to two and a half hours as opposed to three. It’s no secret that Iñárritu is a divisive figure in the film community – Birdman and The Revenant are real “love-it-or-hate-it” movies, and I even happen to love the latter while finding the former to be a bit too bombastic – so right off the bat, it’s clear that BARDO isn’t going to be for everyone. And yes, despite being a staggering audiovisual spectacle from start-to-finish, its surreal storytelling can at times become a bit exhausting. Still, the central theme about being lost between countries is quite compelling – especially due to the cultural specificity Iñárritu suffuses throughout the film – the cinematography captivates, and Daniel Giménez Cacho is a dynamic and dutifully committed lead. I will continue to keep it in my Best International Feature Film predictions (though not contending for the win) and right outside my Best Cinematography line-up (let’s see what ASC says), and I do also believe Iñárritu can’t be counted out for a fourth Best Director nod as well. This is a two-time winner we’re talking about – whose work is clearly still held in high regard by most of the “artier” members of this branch, as Oscar winners Barry Jenkins and Chloé Zhao can attest – and the work is simply stupendous and supremely showy. Pundits always talk about how there’s been a spot reserved for an international nominee in the Best Director line-up in recent years (Alfonso Cuarón, Paweł Pawlikowski, Bong Joon-ho, Thomas Vinterberg, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, etc.) and while we’ve thrown a number of names around this season that fit that bill (Park Chan-wook, Ruben Östlund, etc.), don’t sleep on Iñárritu.

Other odds and ends this week include

  • In a recent Hollywood Reporter interview, Babylon star Eric Roberts stated that his co-star Margot Robbie will “win an Academy Award” for her performance, and that “she gives the most incredible performance that [he’s] ever seen.” Take it with a grain of salt, as he’s obviously involved in the same project she is, but this corroborates what we’ve been hearing all year long, especially after Babylon held a test screening in the spring that received rapturous acclaim. If you recall, I had Robbie listed as my Best Actress frontrunner at the start of the season – and later as a Best Supporting Actress frontrunner, when rumors were abounding about the Babylon cast’s category placements behind-the-scenes – but as the season has taken shape, I do wonder if there are too many other compelling contenders she’ll have to catapult over in order to win as a “late-breaker,” and she might lack a “narrative” to put her over the edge. There’s Cate Blanchett giving what is widely seen as her best performance to date – and maybe even the best performance of the year, period – and then there’s Michelle Yeoh starring in a Best Picture frontrunner and receiving career tributes left and right. At this point, in the Best Actress race, Robbie feels more in line with Michelle Williams to me. An unrewarded and beloved actress giving a great performance in a film that will likely earn an enormous amount of nominations, but one who finds that their campaign can’t solely rely on said “great performance” alone to give them the win.
  • The theatrical trailer for Avatar: The Way of Water dropped this week, and it looks every bit as vibrant and visually stunning as we’ve come to expect from James Cameron. I’ve had the film in my Best Picture predictions all season long (and racking up several tech nominations), but I do think the potential is there for it to pop even more. I’ve added it to my Best Film Editing and Best Original Score line-ups this week – on top of Best Picture, Best Cinematography, Best Production Design, Best Sound, and Best Visual Effects – and I do see the case for a second Best Director nod for Cameron too, though I wonder if that notoriously finicky branch will feel like he’s not doing enough “new” here. I also hold steadfast in my prediction that The Way of Water will not only handily win Best Visual Effects, but also Best Cinematography as well – if looking at the landscapes in the trailer wasn’t enough of an indication of its awards potential in that category, The Oscar Expert cited a convincing stat this week about how “since Avatar, every VFX winner that was nominated for picture also won cinematography (7 times since 2009),” so if you have this in your field of ten in BP, watch out.

BEST PICTURE

Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

3. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

4. Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

5. Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

6. TÁR (Focus Features)

7. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

8. The Whale (A24)

9. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

10. She Said (Universal Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

11. Triangle of Sadness (NEON)

12. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

13. Aftersun (A24)

14. The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

15. Elvis (Warner Bros.)

16. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)

17. Decision to Leave (MUBI)

18. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

19. Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

20. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)


BEST DIRECTOR

Steven Spielberg at the 2022 Toronto International Film Festival

1. Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

2. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

3. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features)

5. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

ALTERNATES:

6. Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI)

7. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

8. James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+1)

9. Alejandro González Iñárritu – BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix) (NEW)

10. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-2)


BEST ACTOR

Brendan Fraser in The Whale

1. Brendan Fraser – The Whale (A24)

2. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

3. Austin Butler – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

4. Bill Nighy – Living (Sony Pictures Classics)

5. Diego Calva – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. Hugh Jackman – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

7. Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

8. Paul Mescal – Aftersun (A24)

9. Adam Driver – White Noise (Netflix)

10. Will Smith – Emancipation (Apple TV+)


BEST ACTRESS

Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

1. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Cate Blanchett – TÁR (Focus Features)

3. Margot Robbie – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Danielle Deadwyler – Till (UAR/Orion)

ALTERNATES:

6. Olivia Colman – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

7. Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Sony Pictures Releasing)

8. Viola Davis – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

9. Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande (Searchlight Pictures)

10. Jennifer Lawrence – Causeway (Apple TV+)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

3. Brad Pitt – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

7. Ben Whishaw – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

8. Micheal Ward – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

9. Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway (Apple TV+)

10. Jeremy Strong – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Carey Mulligan in She Said

1. Carey Mulligan – She Said (Universal Pictures) (+4)

2. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

3. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24) (+1)

4. Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin (A24) (-3)

5. Claire Foy – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (-2)

ALTERNATES:

6. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features) (+3)

7. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

8. Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-2)

8. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (-1)

10. Janelle Monáe – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Michelle Yeoh, Ke Huy Quan, and Stephanie Hsu in Everything Everywhere All at Once

1. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

3. Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

4. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features) (+1)

5. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-1)

ALTERNATES:

6. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

7. Charlotte Wells – Aftersun (A24)

8. Jeong Seo-kyeong and Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI)

9. James Gray – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)

10. Sam Mendes – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The cast of Women Talking

1. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

2. Rebecca Lenkiewicz – She Said (Universal Pictures) (+2)

3. Samuel D. Hunter – The Whale (A24) (-1)

4. Rian Johnson – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) (-1)

5. Noah Baumbach – White Noise (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. Guillermo del Toro, Patrick McHale, and Matthew Robbins – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

7. Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie, and Eric Warren Singer – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

8. Edward Berger, Lesley Patterson, and Ian Stokell – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

9. Kazuo Ishiguro – Living (Sony Pictures Classics)

10. David Kajganich – Bones and All (MGM/UAR)


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Avatar: The Way of Water

1. Russell Carpenter – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

2. Linus Sandgren – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. Roger Deakins – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

4. Janusz Kamiński – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. James Friend – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. Darius Khondji – BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix)

7. Greig Fraser – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

8. Claudio Miranda – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

9. Ben Davis – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

10. Autumn Durald Arkapaw – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Diego Calva and Jean Smart in Babylon

1. Mary Zophres – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Catherine Martin – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

3. Ruth E. Carter – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

4. Mark Bridges – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Gersha Phillips – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

ALTERNATES:

6. Jenny Beavan – Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Focus Features)

7. Shirley Kurata – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

8. Arianne Phillips – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros.)

9. Albert Wolsky – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)

10. Alexandra Byrne – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)


BEST FILM EDITING

Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

1. Paul Rogers – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Eddie Hamilton – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

3. Tom Cross – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua, and Stephen E. Rivkin – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+3)

5. Sarah Broshar – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) (-1)

ALTERNATES:

6. Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond – Elvis (Warner Bros.) (-1)

7. Sven Budelmann – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) (-1)

8. Roslyn Kalloo – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

9. Bob Ducsay – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)

10. Monika Willi – TÁR (Focus Features)


BEST MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING

Brendan Fraser in The Whale

1. TBD – The Whale (A24)

2. Jason Baird, Mark Coulier, Louise Coulston, and Shane Thomas – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

3. Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, and Zoe Tahir – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

5. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

7. TBD – Blonde (Netflix)

8. TBD – X (A24)

9. TBD – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

10. TBD – Thor: Love and Thunder (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

John Williams with his Oscar

1. John Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

2. Justin Hurwitz – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. Hildur Guðnadóttir – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

4. Simon Franglen – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+2)

5. Alexandre Desplat – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-2)

7. Michael Giacchino – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

8. Carter Burwell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

9. Volker Bertelmann – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

10. Danny Elfman – White Noise (Netflix)


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Rihanna at the Black Panther: Wakanda Forever premiere

1. “Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

2. “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

3. “Naatu Naatu” – RRR (Sarigama Cinemas)

4. “Nobody Like U” – Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)

5. “Applause” – Tell It Like a Woman (Samuel Goldwyn Films)

ALTERNATES:

6. “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise (Netflix)

7. “This Is A Life” – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

8. “Stand Up” – Till (UAR/Orion)

9. “Carried Away” – Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (Sony Pictures Releasing)

10. “On My Way” – Marry Me (Universal Pictures)


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Margot Robbie and the cast of Babylon in Babylon

1. Florencia Martin (Production Design) and Anthony Carlino (Set Decoration) – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Dylan Cole and Ben Procter (Production Design) and Vanessa Cole (Set Decoration) – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

3. Hannah Beachler (Production Design) and Lisa K. Sessions (Set Decoration) – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

4. Rick Carter (Production Design) and Karen O’Hara (Set Decoration) – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Catherine Martin (Production Design) and Beverley Dunn (Set Decoration) – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD (Production Design) and TBD (Set Decoration) – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

7. Christian M. Goldbeck (Production Design) and Ernestine Hipper (Set Decoration) – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

8. Akin McKenzie (Production Design) and TBD (Set Decoration) – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

9. Mark Tildesley (Production Design) and Patricia Cuccia (Set Decoration) – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

10. Rick Heinrichs (Production Design) and Elli Griff (Set Decoration) – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)


BEST SOUND

Tom Cruise in Top Gun: Maverick

1. Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor, and Mark Weingarten – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

2. TBD – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

3. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

4. William Files, Douglas Murray, Andy Nelson, and Stuart Wilson – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

5. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson, and Wayne Pashley – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

7. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

8. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

9. Paul “Salty” Brincat, Chris Burdon, William Miller, Oliver Tarney, and Rachael Tate – Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios/MGM)

10. Michele Gualdrini, Geoff Maxwell, and Jim Morgan – Bones and All (MGM/UAR)


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Sam Worthington as Jake Sully in Avatar: The Way of Water

1. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

2. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

3. Scott R. Fisher, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson, and Ryan Tudhope – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

5. TBD – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

7. Russell Earl, Anders Langlands, Dan Lemmon, and Dominic Tuohy – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

8. TBD – Nope (Universal Pictures)

9. TBD – Thor: Love and Thunder (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

10. TBD – Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM/UAR)


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

2. Strange World (Walt Disney/Walt Disney Animation)

3. Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)

4. My Father’s Dragon (Netflix)

5. The Bad Guys (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)

ALTERNATES:

6. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (A24)

7. The Sea Beast (Netflix)

8. Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

9. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)

10. Lightyear (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Navalny

1. Navalny (Warner Bros.)

2. Fire of Love (National Geographic Documentary Films/NEON)

3. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (NEON)

4. Descendant (Netflix)

5. Moonage Daydream (NEON)

ALTERNATES:

6. Good Night Oppy (Amazon Studios)

7. Sr. (Netflix)

8. Sidney (Apple TV+)

9. The Territory (National Geographic Documentary Films)

10. Black Ice (Elevation Pictures)


BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

Park Hae-il and Tang Wei in Decision to Leave

1. Decision to Leave (MUBI) – South Korea

2. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – Germany

3. Close (A24) – Belgium

4. BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix) – Mexico

5. Saint Omer (TBD) – France

ALTERNATES:

6. Klondike (TBD) – Ukraine

7. Holy Spider (Utopia) – Denmark

8. Argentina, 1985 (Amazon Studios) – Argentina

9. EO (TBD) – Poland

10. Boy from Heaven (TBD) – Sweden


WIN/NOMINATION TALLIES

  • Babylon (2 wins/12 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Director
    • Best Actor
    • Best Actress
    • Best Supporting Actor
    • Best Cinematography
    • Best Costume Design
    • Best Film Editing
    • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    • Best Original Score
    • Best Production Design
    • Best Sound
  • The Fabelmans (2 wins/11 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Director
    • Best Actress
    • Best Supporting Actor
    • Best Supporting Actor
    • Best Original Screenplay
    • Best Cinematography
    • Best Costume Design
    • Best Film Editing
    • Best Original Score
    • Best Production Design
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once (5 wins/7 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Director
    • Best Actress
    • Best Supporting Actor
    • Best Original Screenplay
    • Best Film Editing
    • Best Visual Effects
  • Avatar: The Way of Water (2 wins/7 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Cinematography
    • Best Film Editing
    • Best Original Score
    • Best Production Design
    • Best Sound
    • Best Visual Effects
  • Women Talking (1 win/6 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Director
    • Best Supporting Actress
    • Best Supporting Actress
    • Best Adapted Screenplay
    • Best Original Score
  • The Banshees of Inisherin (0 wins/5 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Actor
    • Best Supporting Actor
    • Best Supporting Actress
    • Best Original Screenplay
  • Top Gun: Maverick (1 win/5 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Film Editing
    • Best Original Song
    • Best Sound
    • Best Visual Effects
  • The Whale (2 wins/5 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Actor
    • Best Supporting Actress
    • Best Adapted Screenplay
    • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1 win/5 nominations)
    • Best Costume Design
    • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    • Best Original Song
    • Best Production Design
    • Best Visual Effects
  • TÁR (0 wins/4 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Director
    • Best Actress
    • Best Original Screenplay
  • Elvis (0 wins/4 nominations)
    • Best Actor
    • Best Costume Design
    • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    • Best Production Design
  • She Said (1 win/3 nominations)
    • Best Picture
    • Best Supporting Actress
    • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (1 win/3 nominations)
    • Best Animated Feature
    • Best Original Score
    • Best Visual Effects
  • All Quiet on the Western Front (0 wins/3 nominations)
    • Best Cinematography
    • Best International Feature Film
    • Best Sound
  • The Batman (0 wins/2 nominations)
    • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
    • Best Sound
  • Turning Red (0 wins/2 nominations)
    • Best Animated Feature
    • Best Original Song
  • Living (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Actor
  • Till (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Actress
  • Triangle of Sadness (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Original Screenplay
  • Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • White Noise (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • The Woman King (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Costume Design
  • Empire of Light (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Cinematography
  • RRR (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Original Song
  • Tell It Like a Woman (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Original Song
  • Strange World (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Animated Feature
  • My Father’s Dragon (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Animated Feature
  • The Bad Guys (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Animated Feature
  • Navalny (1 win/1 nomination)
    • Best Documentary Feature
  • Fire of Love (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Documentary Feature
  • All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Documentary Feature
  • Descendant (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Documentary Feature
  • Moonage Daydream (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best Documentary Feature
  • Decision to Leave (1 win/1 nomination)
    • Best International Feature Film
  • Close (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best International Feature Film
  • BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best International Feature Film
  • Saint Omer (0 wins/1 nomination)
    • Best International Feature Film
Written by
Though Zoë Rose Bryant has only worked in film criticism for a little under three years - turning a collegiate passion into a full-time career by writing for outlets such as Next Best Picture and Awards Watch - her captivation with cinema has been a lifelong fascination, appreciating film in all its varying forms, from horror movies to heartfelt romantic comedies and everything in between. Born and raised in Omaha, Nebraska, she made the move to Los Angeles in 2021 after graduating college and now spends her days keeping tabs on all things pop culture and attempting to attend every screening under the sun. As a trans critic, she also seeks to champion underrepresented voices in the LGBTQ+ community in film criticism and offer original insight on how gender and sexuality are explored in modern entertainment. You can find Zoë on Twitter, Instagram, and Letterboxd at @ZoeRoseBryant.

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