Zoë’s 2023 Golden Globe Awards Television Predictions

We’re less than one week away from the 80th Golden Globe Awards (yes, they are back), and we have so much to discuss that it simply cannot be contained in a single predictions post. We’re in the heat of awards season now, with the Golden Globes representing the first televised awards ceremony of the 2023, and because there’s so much uncertainty across almost all of these races, today, we’ll touch on the television categories only, with the end of the week bringing my thoughts on those hotly contested film categories. And so, without further ado, let’s just dive right in.

Best Television Series – Drama

Adam Scott, Zach Cherry, John Turturro, and Britt Lower in Severance

Better Call Saul

The Crown

House of the Dragon

Ozark

Severance

Will Win: Severance

Could Win: House of the Dragon

Though Better Call Saul wrapped up after six critically lauded seasons this summer, I think this win is going to come down to the two freshman hits of the year, Severance and House of the DragonSeverance, by virtue of being an original series that surprised almost everyone, has had a bit more buzz and acclaim than Dragon, so I’ll give it the edge for now, but maybe the HFPA got GOT-fever again.

Best Television Series – Comedy

The cast of Abbott Elementary

Abbott Elementary

The Bear

Hacks

Only Murders in the Building

Wednesday

Will Win: Abbott Elementary

Could Win: The Bear

As with Drama Series, this very clearly feels like it’s between the two freshman hits – Abbott Elementary and The Bear – though this is nowhere near as close of a competition, with Abbott leading nominations for all television shows with five (The Bear has two) and coming close to winning the top prize at the Emmys just a few months ago. There’s always a chance for an upset, especially at the Globes, but I think Abbott will be alright.

Best Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film

The White Lotus: Sicily

Black Bird

Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

The Dropout

Pam & Tommy

The White Lotus

Will Win: The White Lotus

Could Win: Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

None of these nominees have the media attention of The White Lotus, and since the Globes didn’t award the show last year (it wasn’t even nominated), I see them correcting that mistake this time out. Dahmer was a ratings juggernaut for Netflix, and it’s by far and away the biggest mainstream hit of this bunch, but The White Lotus has an artier appeal that I don’t see HFPA voters denying.

Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Bob Odenkirk in Better Call Saul

Jeff Bridges – The Old Man

Kevin Costner – Yellowstone

Diego Luna – Andor

Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

Adam Scott – Severance

Will Win: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

Could Win: Adam Scott – Severance

Now here’s where Better Call Saul will get its parting gift. Though I won’t rule out Severance‘s Adam Scott as an upset, I think the Golden Globes will be the start of Bob Odenkirk finally receiving awards recognition for his work in Better Call Saul now that it’s every ceremony’s last chance, giving him momentum that may even last all the way to this year’s Emmys. Perhaps the HFPA throws us a curveball with one of the other three nominees, but given that they all hail from shows that lack series nods, I’ll play it safe and stick with Odenkirk.

Best Actor in a Television Series – Comedy

Jeremy Allen White in The Bear

Donald Glover – Atlanta

Bill Hader – Barry

Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building

Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building

Jeremy Allen White – The Bear

Will Win: Jeremy Allen White – The Bear

Could Win: Bill Hader – Barry

Prior to the announcement of the nominations for the 80th Golden Globes, I would’ve said that this was Bill Hader’s to lose, especially after he was passed over at this year’s Emmys for Ted Lasso‘s Jason Sudeikis (who isn’t here this year). However, given the heat that The Bear has right now, and how the HFPA loves to anoint “the next big thing” – and how Barry wasn’t nominated for Comedy Series – I’m gonna say Jeremy Allen White will be the victor instead, which, as was the case for Bob Odenkirk above, might start his Emmy momentum as well.

Best Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film

Evan Peters in Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Taron Egerton – Black Bird

Colin Firth – The Staircase

Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven

Evan Peters – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Sebastian Stan – Pam & Tommy

Will Win: Evan Peters – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Could Win: Taron Egerton – Black Bird

Evan Peters, Taron Egerton, and Sebastian Stan are the nominees from shows that were also nominated for Best Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film, and all play transformative roles, to varying degrees. However, neither Black Bird nor Pam & Tommy received the ratings or mainstream attention that Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story did, and it’s also just hard to complete with the dude playing Jeffrey Dahmer in the first place. Egerton and Stan have paths to the win, but Peters remains my pick.

Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama

Zendaya in Euphoria Season 2

Emma D’Arcy – House of the Dragon

Laura Linney – Ozark

Imelda Staunton – The Crown

Hilary Swank – Alaska Daily

Zendaya – Euphoria

Will Win: Zendaya – Euphoria

Could Win: Emma D’Arcy – House of the Dragon

I know above I said that I’d refrain from choosing a sole nominee for a win when there are other nominees from stronger shows that received recognition as well, but here, we’re talking about Zendaya, who is fresh off an Emmy win – her second in fact, which made her the youngest recipient of two Primetime Emmy Awards for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series. And despite hailing from shows that managed Drama Series nods, her competition can’t quite compare with the heat she has. The divisiveness surrounding Season 5 of The Crown could keep Imelda Staunton out, while Ozark‘s buzz has waned significantly since its series finale. Perhaps Emma D’Arcy is our dark horse, but Zendaya’s still the favorite.

Best Actress in a Television Series – Comedy

Quinta Brunson in Abbott Elementary

Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary

Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant

Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building

Jenna Ortega – Wednesday

Jean Smart – Hacks

Will Win: Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary

Could Win: Jean Smart – Hacks

Jean Smart won this award last year – as well as the Emmy in September – but something tells me tides are turning in Quinta Brunson’s favor, with Abbott Elementary‘s command over the cultural conversation remaining as robust as ever, and there being a desire to anoint someone new instead of giving Smart her second win for the role of Deborah Vance. Maybe the HFPA defaults, but I’m betting big on Abbott overall.

Best Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film

Amanda Seyfried in The Dropout

Jessica Chastain – George & Tammy

Julia Garner – Inventing Anna

Lily James – Pam & Tommy

Julia Roberts – Gaslit

Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout

Will Win: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout

Could Win: Lily James – Pam & Tommy

Amanda Seyfried is going to win this in a walk, end of conversation, and Lily James is the only real “competition” she might have (as the only other nominee from a show nominated for Best Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film turning in equally transformative work), but Seyfried has made herself the core focus in this category ever since The Dropout debuted last spring, and I don’t see her slowing down any time soon.

Best Supporting Actor in a Television Series – Comedy or Drama

John Lithgow – The Old Man

Jonathan Pryce – The Crown

John Turturro – Severance

Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary

Henry Winkler – Barry

Will Win: John Turturro – Severance

Could Win: Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary

This perhaps the toughest category to call, since I think you can make a compelling argument for almost any contender, and there’s no real “frontrunner.” Turturro, Williams, and Winkler were all Emmy nominees last September (and Winkler is a former two-time nominee for this role in this category, but never a winner), Pryce hails from a show with a Drama Series nomination, and though Lithgow’s The Old Man didn’t make the Drama line-up, his co-star Jeff Bridges managed a nom in Lead Actor (showing that there is some interest for the series outside of him alone), and the Globes do love a truly random bonkers win from time to time, so maybe he’s that this year? I’m mostly considering Turturro or Williams, given that both star in my predicted Drama and Comedy Series winners, and I’ll give Turturro the edge by a hair for being a longer-working – and thus more overdue – actor.

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film

Paul Walter Hauser in Black Bird

F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus

Domhnall Gleeson – The Patient

Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird

Richard Jenkins – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Seth Rogen – Pam & Tommy

Will Win: Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird

Could Win: F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus

Another category where you could make a pretty convincing case for any of the five nominees, but I believe Abraham and Hauser have the biggest buzz – Abraham for playing a provocative scene-stealer in the miniseries frontrunner, and Hauser for transforming into a terrifying antagonist in Black Bird – and I think Hauser’s “bigger/broader” work might put him ahead ever-so-slightly. I’m also not dismissing Richard Jenkins in Dahmer though, as he’s a known name doing reliably riveting work in that hit series.

Best Supporting Actress in a Television Series – Comedy or Drama

Sheryl Lee Ralph in Abbott Elementary

Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown

Hannah Einbinder – Hacks

Julia Garner – Ozark

Janelle James – Abbott Elementary

Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary

Will Win: Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary

Could Win: Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown

The whole world is on Sheryl Lee Ralph’s side after that surprise – but wonderfully welcome – Emmy win (and her subsequent stirring speech), and after she received even more hysterical material to sink her teeth into in Season 2 of Abbott Elementary, I think she remains the frontrunner here, though she’s not unchallenged. There’s internal competition from Janelle James (an eternal fan favorite), Julia Garner won the Drama Supporting Actress Emmy this year and could have some support, and then Elizabeth Debicki is over here turning in the largest Transformation-with-a-capital-T as Princess Diana in Season 5 of The Crown. I’ll stick with Sheryl, but there is room for someone else to sneak in.

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Television Film

Jennifer Coolidge in The White Lotus

Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus

Claire Danes – Fleishman Is in Trouble

Daisy Edgar-Jones – Under the Banner of Heaven

Niecy Nash-Betts – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus

Will Win: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus

Could Win: Claire Danes – Fleishman Is in Trouble

After her fantastic work on the Season 2 finale of The White Lotus – some of the best of her career, mind you – Jennifer Coolidge is easily out ahead here, especially since the Globes can make up for passing over her last year. Aubrey Plaza was another White Lotus MVP this season (though the Coolidge-centric finale puts Jen ahead), while Niecy Nash-Betts made the most of every second of her screen time on Dahmer, but I think Jen has a pretty clear lead, unless the HFPA go for a left-field pick like Claire Danes in Fleishman Is in Trouble (the only nominee from that show, but a four-time Golden Globe winner and an oft-cited MVP from that recent Hulu miniseries).

Written by
Though Zoë Rose Bryant has only worked in film criticism for a little under three years - turning a collegiate passion into a full-time career by writing for outlets such as Next Best Picture and Awards Watch - her captivation with cinema has been a lifelong fascination, appreciating film in all its varying forms, from horror movies to heartfelt romantic comedies and everything in between. Born and raised in Omaha, Nebraska, she made the move to Los Angeles in 2021 after graduating college and now spends her days keeping tabs on all things pop culture and attempting to attend every screening under the sun. As a trans critic, she also seeks to champion underrepresented voices in the LGBTQ+ community in film criticism and offer original insight on how gender and sexuality are explored in modern entertainment. You can find Zoë on Twitter, Instagram, and Letterboxd at @ZoeRoseBryant.

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