Zoë’s Oscar Predictions – September 2nd

Oh how the mighty have fallen.

Just last week, I said “never doubt Alejandro González Iñárritu,” and now, after BARDO’s 46% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 4.7/10 average rating (with 13 reviews submitted) and 53 on Metacritic (with 10 reviews submitted), it seems like we should do a bit more than just “doubt” his latest Oscar contender – we might have to dismiss it entirely. I mean, if a movie is too pretentious for the Venice International Film Festival, what hope is there for it with the Academy? Some have been quick to compare BARDO to last year’s Don’t Look Up – which scored a Best Picture nomination (along with nominations for Best Original Screenplay, Best Film Editing, and Best Original Score) despite a 56% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 6.3/10 average rating and a 49 on Metacritic – but here’s the thing: Don’t Look Up was critiqued for the very things that the Academy actually liked about it. For critics, its “broadness” was a detriment, but that actually made it more accessible to AMPAS voters and more appealing as well. Meanwhile, if some of the stuffiest critics around are calling BARDO an “overlong pretentious bore,” do we really think that Academy voters will be the ones to come to its rescue?

I tried to hold out after the initial mixed reactions, suspecting that some of these might be more polarizing than the majority, but all day yesterday, BARDO‘s critical scores somehow became even worse as more reviews were revealed. Initially, this was assumed to be Netflix’s #1 priority this awards season, but now, I’m not sure how they’re gonna save it (and they may have to shift their resources entirely to Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, given that movie’s strength in the Best Supporting Actress and Best Adapted Screenplay categories). So, for the time being, I’m removing it from my Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, and Best Original Screenplay predictions, leaving it in Best Cinematography (though no longer giving it the win, as it’s quite rare for a film to win Best Cinematography without a Best Picture nomination – Roger Deakins pulled it off in 2017 as part of a “career achievement” narrative, but before that, the last person to beat the odds was was Guillermo Navarro, for 2006’s Pan’s Labyrinth) and Best International Feature Film (though it’s stumbled there quite a bit too, and could absolutely fall out completely if stronger contenders rise).

What takes BARDO‘s place as my predicted winner of Best International Feature Film? Why that would be Park Chan-wook’s Decision to Leave, which already has some of the best reviews of any contender in that category (a 90% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 8.3/10 average rating and a 88 on Metacritic) and already picked up the Best Director award at this year’s Cannes Film Festival for Park. I’ve also moved Park up as my main alternate in Best Director, and I truly do think he could take out one of my top five right now, but since I’m not totally sure who’s the “most vulnerable” at the moment, I’ll leave him just outside for now – just as I’m also doing for the film in Best Picture. There’s also a world where this overindexes and gets into Picture with several initially unexpected additional nominations (Best Original Screenplay? Best Film Editing?), or there’s a world where this is Another Round, and it just gets a Best Director nom and a Best International Feature Film win – and it’s too soon to say which it is.

Something that benefits Decision to Leave in multiple above-the-line and below-the-line categories (not just Best Picture or Best Director) is how representative of international artists the Academy has become in recent years. And you know what else the Academy has been more friendly to recently? Critical darlings. (Drive My Car actually benefitted from both of these new trends in the Academy’s voting patterns, as an international pick and a critical fave). Sure, they may not always win Best Picture, but recently, films that would’ve been branded as “too obtuse” and never come within spitting distance of the “top prize” ten years ago have found themselves as recent runner-ups (Roma, The Power of the Dog, etc.). And this benefits not just Decision to Leave, but also the current critical hit of Venice (and Golden Lion frontrunner): TÁR.

Last week, I was perhaps a little too dismissive of TÁR‘s capability to contend in multiple categories at this year’s Oscars outside of Best Actress. I still do believe that mainstream response to the film might be more muted than that of the critical community’s – and even IndieWire’s David Ehrlich (a major fan of the movie) warns “armchair Oscarologists” that it’s quite “cold and hostile” – but with such universally rave reviews at the moment (a 94% on Rotten Tomatoes with an 8.5/10 average rating and a 91 on Metacritic), we may be reaching a point where the passion for TÁR amongst certain contingents of the Academy is simply too powerful to deny, and they push it through regardless. At the end of the day, whatever subversive style the film may be shrouded in, it’s a story about a creator pushing herself to their limit to achieve greatness at all costs, and stories like that – no matter how coarse or “cold” – have historically done quite well at the Oscars, from Black Swan to Whiplash (though Black Swan did benefit from boffo box office, too).

Additionally, Cate Blanchett’s seemingly win-worthy performance will not only keep her in the Best Actress conversation all season long (though be wary of her supposedly prickly portrayal of the fictional Lydia Tár actually earning her a third Oscar in the end, with warmer characters played by Margot Robbie and Michelle Yeoh to contend with), but her film as well, making it one of the most widely watched movies of the year. And, it should be stated that there seems to be significant excitement for writer-director Todd Field on his own for his cinematic comeback 16 years in the making, making him quite a compelling contender in the directing and writing categories (particularly the former, given that he’s said to exercise “Kubrickian levels of control” in this film). And when you start to add all those nominations up – Best Director, Best Actress, and Best Original Screenplay (along with strong shots in Best Cinematography, Best Film Editing, and Best Original Score) – the case for TÁR‘s inclusion in the Best Picture line-up becomes stronger and stronger. So, let’s see what you’ve got, Lydia.

Other odds and ends this week:

• Tom Cruise makes his ascension into my Best Actor predictions as BARDO‘s Daniel Giménez Cacho falls and Top Gun: Maverick continues to impress critically and commercially. I know Cruise will receive an individual Oscar nomination anyway if Top Gun is nominated for Best Picture (as I and many others suspect it will be), but Cruise’s performance has also been continually praised ever since the film released – cited as one of the best of his entire career – and as I look at where he else could show up this season (the Golden Globes – where he’s won three times – and the SAG Awards), I start to see the path for him. It helps that he’s in a huge contender, whereas many of the other Best Actor hopefuls (Bill Nighy, Song Kang-ho, Colin Farrell, Christian Bale, and Adam Driver) seem to be one of their films’ only pushes.
• Anthony Hopkins shows up in Best Supporting Actor for the first time this season, after the teaser trailer for The Son and a profile with star Zen McGrath speak to his strength in the film, even in a seemingly small – but significant – role (and one mentioned in the play but physically originated for the film). I’ve already been predicting Hugh Jackman, Zen McGrath, Laura Dern, and Vanessa Kirby to earn Oscar nominations (with Jackman winning), but if Hopkins does manage to squeeze in to the final Best Supporting Actor line-up, that would make The Son the first film since 1976’s Network to earn five acting nominations at the Academy Awards.

• At this year’s DGA Digital Day, James Cameron showed off new footage of Avatar: The Way of Water for a select few, with writer-director Liam O’Donnell taking to Twitter to label it as the “most insanely complicated movie ever made,” going in depth about the amount of data they captured thanks to “underwater performance capture with 15 cameras, 2 [cameras] on every actor’s face capture, underwater reference capture for fully CG creatures, [and] infrared depth capture to place CG characters in the live action footage.” Methinks this is gonna be a MAJOR hit with the tech branches (as if we didn’t already know that), and its state-of-the-art showmanship gives it a bit of a boost in this week’s Best Picture rankings (and in my Best Cinematography predictions).
• As mentioned up above, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery is likely to become Netflix’s biggest awards contender this year now that BARDO‘s a bust, but while I’m waiting to raise it in my Best Picture rankings until I know more about the story and see how its reception compares to the first Knives Out, I have made Janelle Monáe my alternate in Best Supporting Actress. She’s said to be the standout of that film’s stacked ensemble cast, and after narrowly missing out on an Oscar nom a few years ago for Hidden Figures, this could be her time to shine.
• Japan has selected the drama Plan 75 – about a government that encourages senior citizens to be euthanized to remedy an aged society – as its International Feature Film submission for the Oscars, thus crushing Broker‘s chances in the category now that both South Korea and Japan have opted to submit other titles.

BEST PICTURE

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

4. Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (+1)

5. TÁR (Focus Features) (+8)

6. The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

7. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

8. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+2)

9. Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)

10. Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-1)

ALTERNATES:

11. Decision to Leave (MUBI) (NEW)

12. The Whale (A24) (-1)

13. She Said (Universal Pictures) (-1)

14. Elvis (Warner Bros.)

15. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

16. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)

17. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

18. Cha Cha Real Smooth (Apple TV+)

19. White Noise (Netflix)

20. The Inspection (A24)

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features) (+6)

3. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

4. Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

ALTERNATES:

6. Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (+1)

7. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-1)

8. James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+1)

9. Sam Mendes – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (+1)

10. Florian Zeller – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) (NEW)

BEST ACTOR

1. Hugh Jackman – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

2. Brendan Fraser – The Whale (A24)

3. Austin Butler – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

4. Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) (NEW)

5. Bill Nighy – Living (Sony Pictures Classics)

ALTERNATES:

6. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+1)

7. Christian Bale – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios) (+1)

8. Song Kang-ho – Broker (NEON) (-2)

9. Adam Driver – White Noise (Netflix)

10. Diego Calva – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Margot Robbie – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Cate Blanchett – TÁR (Focus Features) (+1)

3. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (-1)

4. Olivia Colman – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

5. Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Sony Pictures Releasing)

ALTERNATES:

6. Danielle Deadwyler – Till (UAR/Orion)

7. Carey Mulligan – She Said (Universal Pictures)

8. Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande (Searchlight Pictures)

9. Tang Wei – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (NEW)

10. Ana de Armas – Blonde (Netflix) (-1)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Brad Pitt – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. Zen McGrath – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

4. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. Ben Whishaw – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (+1)

ALTERNATES:

6. Anthony Hopkins – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) (NEW)

7. Micheal Ward – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-2)

8. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)

9. Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) (-1)

10. Don Cheadle – White Noise (Netflix) (NEW)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

2. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

3. Laura Dern – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

4. Sadie Sink – The Whale (A24)

5. Vanessa Kirby – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

ALTERNATES:

6. Janelle Monáe – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) (+3)

7. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (-1)

8. Claire Foy – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (-1)

9. Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-1)

10. Zoe Kazan – She Said (Universal Pictures)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

3. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features) (+4)

5. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON)

ALTERNATES:

6. Jeong Seo-kyeong and Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (+3)

7. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)

8. Sam Mendes – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-2)

9. Cooper Raiff – Cha Cha Real Smooth (Apple TV+) (+1)

10. Billy Eichner and Nicholas Stoller – Bros (Universal Pictures) (NEW)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

2. Florian Zeller – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

3. Samuel D. Hunter – The Whale (A24)

4. Rian Johnson – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)

5. Noah Baumbach – White Noise (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. Rebecca Lenkiewicz – She Said (Universal Pictures)

7. Kazuo Ishiguro – Living (Sony Pictures Classics)

8. Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, and Michael Reilly – Till (UAR/Orion)

9. Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie, and Eric Warren Singer – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

10. Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert Cole – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Russell Carpenter – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (+2)

2. Linus Sandgren – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. Darius Khondji – BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix) (-2)

4. Roger Deakins – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

5. Janusz Kamiński – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. Greig Fraser – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

7. Autumn Durald Arkapaw – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

8. Claudio Miranda – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

9. Florian Hoffmeister – TÁR (Focus Features)

10. Larkin Seiple – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Mary Zophres – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Catherine Martin – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

3. Mark Bridges – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

4. Mobolaji Dawodu – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

5. Jenny Beavan – Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Focus Features)

ALTERNATES:

6. Gersha Phillips – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

7. Shirley Kurata – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

8. Arianne Phillips – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros.)

9. Albert Wolsky – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)

10. Alexandra Byrne – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Paul Rogers – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

2. Eddie Hamilton – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

3. Tom Cross – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

4. Sarah Broshar – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

5. David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua, and Stephen E. Rivkin – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

ALTERNATES:

6. Monika Willi – TÁR (Focus Features) (+3)

7. Kim Sang-bum – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (NEW)

8. Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond – Elvis (Warner Bros.) (-2)

9. Lee Smith – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)

10. Yorgos Lamprinos – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)

BEST MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING

1. TBD – The Whale (A24)

2. TBD – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

3. TBD – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

5. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD – Blonde (Netflix)

7. TBD – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

8. TBD – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

9. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

10. TBD – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. John Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

2. Justin Hurwitz – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

3. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

4. Hildur Guðnadóttir – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)

5. Alexandre Desplat – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

ALTERNATES:

6. Hildur Guðnadóttir – TÁR (Focus Features) (+2)

7. Simon Franglen – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (-1)

8. Michael Giacchino – The Batman (Warner Bros.) (-1)

9. Son Lux – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (+1)

10. Hans Zimmer – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) (NEW)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

2. “TBD” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

3. “Nobody Like U” – Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)

4. “Top of the World” – Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (Sony Pictures Releasing)

5. “This Is A Life” – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

ALTERNATES:

6. “Naatu Naatu” – RRR (Sarigama Cinemas)

7. “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise (Netflix)

8. “On My Way” – Marry Me (Universal Pictures)

9. “Sunny Side Up Summer” – The Bob’s Burgers Movie (20th Century Studios)

10. “Carolina” – Where the Crawdads Sing (Sony Pictures Releasing)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Florencia Martin (Production Design) and Anthony Carlino (Set Decoration) – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

2. Rick Carter (Production Design) and Karen O’Hara (Set Decoration) – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

3. Hannah Beachler (Production Design) and Lisa K. Sessions (Set Decoration) – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

4. Catherine Martin (Production Design) and Beverley Dunn (Set Decoration) – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

5. Dylan Cole and Ben Procter (Production Design) and Vanessa Cole (Set Decoration) – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

ALTERNATES:

6. Mark Tildesley (Production Design) and Patricia Cuccia (Set Decoration) – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)

7. Katie Byron (Production Design) and Rachel Ferrara (Set Decoration) – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros.)

8. Akin McKenzie (Production Design) and TBD (Set Decoration) – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)

9. Judy Becker (Production Design) and Patricia Cuccia (Set Decoration) – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)

10. Jason Kisvarday (Production Design) and Kelsi Ephraim (Set Decoration) – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

BEST SOUND

1. TBD – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

2. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

3. TBD – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

4. TBD – Elvis (Warner Bros.)

5. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)

7. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

8. TBD – Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios/MGM)

9. TBD – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)

10. TBD – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)

2. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)

3. TBD – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)

4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

5. TBD – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

ALTERNATES:

6. TBD – The Batman (Warner Bros.)

7. TBD – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

8. TBD – Thor: Love and Thunder (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)

9. TBD – Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM/UAR)

10. TBD – Nope (Universal Pictures)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)

2. Strange World (Walt Disney/Walt Disney Animation)

3. Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)

4. Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

5. The Bad Guys (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)

ALTERNATES:

6. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (A24)

7. The Sea Beast (Netflix)

8. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)

9. Apollo 10 1/2: A Space Age Childhood (Netflix)

10. Lightyear (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Fire of Love (National Geographic Documentary Films/NEON)

2. Navalny (Warner Bros.)

3. Moonage Daydream (NEON)

4. Descendant (Netflix)

5. Good Night Oppy (Amazon Studios)

ALTERNATES:

6. Sidney (Apple TV+)

7. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (NEON)

8. Riotsville, USA (Magnolia Pictures)

9. Last Flight Home (MTV Documentary Films)

10. The Territory (National Geographic Documentary Films)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

1. Decision to Leave (MUBI) – South Korea (+1)

2. Close (A24) – Belgium (+2)

3. Athena (Netflix) – France (+4)

4. BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix) – Mexico (-3)

5. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – Germany

ALTERNATES:

6. RRR (Sarigama Cinemas) – India

7. Holy Spider (Utopia) – Denmark (+1)

8. Plan 75 (TBD) – Japan (NEW)

9. The Quiet Girl (TBD) – Ireland

10. Leila’s Brothers (Wild Bunch) – Iran

WIN/NOMINATION TALLIES

Taking into account all of my present predictions, this is what I’m seeing for the prospective wins and nominations for this awards season’s hottest titles:

• Babylon (4 wins/11 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Original Screenplay
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Original Score
  • Best Production Design
• The Fabelmans (2 wins/10 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Original Screenplay
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Original Score
  • Best Production Design
• Everything Everywhere All at Once (4 wins/9 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Original Screenplay
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Original Song
  • Best Sound
  • Best Visual Effects
• Avatar: The Way of Water (2 wins/6 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Sound
  • Best Visual Effects
• Top Gun: Maverick (2 wins/6 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Actor
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Original Song
  • Best Sound
  • Best Visual Effects
• The Son (1 win/6 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Actor
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
• Women Talking (1 win/6 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Original Score
• Elvis (0 wins/5 nominations)
  • Best Actor
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Sound
• Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (0 wins/5 nominations)
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Original Song
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Visual Effects
• The Whale (1 win/4 nominations)
  • Best Actor
  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
• TÁR (0 wins/4 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress
  • Best Original Screenplay
• Empire of Light (0 wins/4 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Actress
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Original Score
• Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (1 win/2 nominations)
  • Best Animated Feature
  • Best Original Score
• Triangle of Sadness (0 wins/2 nominations)
  • Best Picture
  • Best Original Screenplay
• BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (0 wins/2 nominations)
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best International Feature Film
• The Batman (0 wins/2 nominations)
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Sound
• Turning Red (0 wins/2 nominations)
  • Best Animated Feature
  • Best Original Song
• Living (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Actor
• I Wanna Dance with Somebody (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Actress
• Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
• White Noise (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
• Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Costume Design
• Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Original Song
• Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Visual Effects
• Strange World (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Animated Feature
• Wendell & Wild (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Animated Feature
• The Bad Guys (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Animated Feature
• Fire of Love (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Documentary Feature
• Navalny (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Documentary Feature
• Moonage Daydream (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Documentary Feature
• Descendant (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Documentary Feature
• Good Night Oppy (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best Documentary Feature
• Decision to Leave (1 win/1 nomination)
  • Best International Feature Film
• Close (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best International Feature Film
• Athena (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best International Feature Film
• All Quiet on the Western Front (0 wins/1 nomination)
  • Best International Feature Film