87th Academy Awards Predictions – by Daniel Rester

birdman picture 1

Will it be Birdman or the Boy?

 

by Daniel Rester

The 87th Academy Awards – celebrating the films of 2014 – are tonight! To celebrate the “Super Bowl” of movie awards shows, I offer up my predictions of who will take away the gold statues. I also place my opinion of who I would vote for if I was an Academy member (“should win”), as well as some thoughts of who was left out of the nominees and should have been in there.

 

Best Picture

Will Win: Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Should Win: Boyhood

Other Nominees: American Sniper, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game, Selma, The Theory of Everything, Whiplash

Should Have Been Nominated: Foxcatcher, Nightcrawler, Under the Skin

My Thoughts: With big SAG, PGA, and DGA wins, Birdman looks to take home the big prize. Don’t be surprised if critic darling Boyhood wins though, as that film took big wins at the Golden Globes and BAFTA Awards. I will be happy with either, as I found Boyhood to be the best film of the year and Birdman to be the second-best.

 

Best Director

Will Win: Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Should Win: Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Other Nominees: Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel, Alejandro González Iñárritu for Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance), Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher, Morten Tyldum for The Imitation Game

Should Have Been Nominated: Ava DuVernay for Selma

My Thoughts: I think there will be that rare split between Picture and Director wins, but Iñárritu could still possibly win (he did get the DGA). But Linklater is a long-loved filmmaker who took many risks and years to craft Boyhood. The Academy probably won’t ignore that.

 

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Will Win: Michael Keaton for Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Should Win: Michael Keaton for Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Other Nominees: Steve Carell for Foxcatcher, Bradley Cooper for American Sniper, Benedict Cumberbatch for The Imitation Game, Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything

Should Have Been Nominated: Jake Gyllenhaal for Nightcrawler, David Oyelowo for Selma

My thoughts: Redmayne is actually the favorite to win with his SAG and BAFTA wins, but I think Keaton will actually take the win. Keaton has picked up a few awards this season for his career-best performance that also works as a comeback vehicle. Redmayne has a long career ahead of him and will have more awards chances; this should be Keaton’s time to shine.

 

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Will Win: Julianne Moore for Still Alice

Should Win: Julianne Moore for Still Alice

Other Nominees: Marion Cotillard for Two Days, One Night, Felicity Jones for The Theory of Everything, Rosamund Pike for Gone Girl, Reese Witherspoon for Wild

Should Have Been Nominated: Scarlett Johansson for Under the Skin

My thoughts: Still Alice is only a good film in my opinion, but Moore is simply great in it. She is long overdue for a win.

 

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Will Win: J.K. Simmons for Whiplash

Should Win: Ethan Hawke for Boyhood

Other Nominees: Robert Duvall for The Judge, Edward Norton for Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance), Mark Ruffalo for Foxcatcher

Should Have Been Nominated: Josh Brolin for Inherent Vice

My thoughts: Simmons is a lock to win. I would be completely satisfied if it was him, Hawke or Norton. They are all deserving, though Hawke is my personal favorite of the bunch performance-wise.

 

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Will Win: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood 

Should Win: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood 

Other Nominees: Laura Dern for Wild, Keira Knightley for The Imitation Game, Emma Stone for Birdman: Or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance), Meryl Streep for Into the Woods

Should Have Been Nominated: Rene Russo for Nightcrawler, Jessica Chastain for A Most Violent Year

My thoughts: Arquette is a lock to win. Some think her performance is over-the-top. I disagree. Arquette touched something special as the heartbroken mother in Boyhood, and that final scene with her seals the deal.

 

Best Animated Feature Film

Will Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Should Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Other Nominees: Big Hero 6, The Boxtrolls, Song of the Sea, The Tale of Princess Kaguya

Should Have Been Nominated: The LEGO Movie

My thoughts: How to Train Your Dragon 2 is an exceptional animated sequel – and already won the Golden Globe. Big Hero 6 could be the upset win though, as it dominated at the box office.

 

Best Foreign Language Film

Will Win: Ida

Should Win: Ida

Other Nominees: Leviathan, Tangerines, Timbuktu, Wild Tales

Should Have Been Nominated: Mommy

My thoughts: Mommy should have been here and won. But Ida is a beautiful and low-key film that many love. Wild Tales or Leviathan could be upsets though.

 

Best Documentary Feature

Will Win: Citizenfour

Should Win: No comment.  

Other Nominees: Finding Vivian Maier, Last Days in Vietnam, The Salt of the Earth, Virunga

Should Have Been Nominated: No comment.  

My thoughts: Unfortunately, I have not seen any of these yet. Citizenfour is said to be the favorite though.

 

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Armando Bo, Nicolas Giacabone, and Alexander Dinelaris for Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Should Win: Wes Anderson for The Grand Budapest Hotel or Dan Gilroy for Nightcrawler

Other Nominees: Richard Linklater for Boyhood, E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman for Foxcatcher

Should Have Been Nominated: Paul Webb for Selma

My thoughts: The Golden Globe winner in this category usually takes the Oscar as well, and this year the Globe winner was Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance). Anderson could easily win as well, though, as he has the WGA award. These are all great screenplays and worthy of winning.

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Graham Moore for The Imitation Game

Should Win: Damien Chazelle for Whiplash

Other Nominees: Paul Thomas Anderson for Inherent Vice, Jason Hall for American Sniper, Anthony McCarten for The Theory of Everything

Should Have Been Nominated: Gillian Flynn for Gone Girl

My thoughts: Moore has the WGA win, but this category is pretty wide open and doesn’t seem to have a favorite. Chazelle’s script has a momentum and sting to it that shouldn’t be ignored though.

 

Best Cinematography

Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki for Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Other Nominees: Roger Deakins for Unbroken, Dick Pope for Mr. Turner, Robert Yeoman for The Grand Budapest Hotel, Lukasz Zal and Ryszard Lenczewski for Ida

Should Have Been Nominated: Hoyte Van Hoytema for Interstellar

My thoughts: Lubezki all the way.

 

Best Film Editing

Will Win: Sandra Adair for Boyhood

Should Win: Tom Cross for Whiplash

Other Nominees: Joel Cox and Gary D. Roach for American Sniper, Barney Pilling for The Grand Budapest Hotel, William Goldenberg for The Imitation Game

Should Have Been Nominated: John Gilroy for Nightcrawler

My thoughts: It’s Boyhood or Whiplash for the win. Both are very deserving.

 

Best Production Design

Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Other Nominees: The Imitation Game, Interstellar, Into the Woods, Mr. Turner

Should Have Been Nominated: Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

My thoughts: Wes Anderson’s films always look impeccable. Now is the time to honor that.

 

Best Costume Design

Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Other Nominees: Inherent Vice, Into the Woods, Maleficent, Mr. Turner

Should Have Been Nominated: Guardians of the Galaxy, Selma

My thoughts: Same thing as the Production Design category.

 

Best Original Score

Will Win: Jóhann Jóhannsson for The Theory of Everything

Should Win: Jóhann Jóhannsson for The Theory of Everything

Other Nominees: Alexandre Desplat for The Grand Budapest Hotel, Alexandre Desplat for The Imitation Game, Gary Yershon for Mr. Turner, Hans Zimmer for Interstellar

Should Have Been Nominated: Mica Levi for Under the Skin

My thoughts: If it isn’t Jóhannsson, it’s Desplat for The Grand Budapest Hotel. The Theory of Everything and Under the Skin had the best film scores I heard all year though.

 

Best Original Song

Will Win: “Glory” from Selma

Should Win: “Glory” from Selma

Other Nominees: “Everything is Awesome” from The LEGO Movie, “Grateful” from Beyond the Lights, “I’m Not Gonna Miss You” from Glenn Campbell…I’ll Be Me, “Lost Stars” from Begin Again

Should Have Been Nominated: Yellow Flicker Beat” from The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1

My thoughts: “Glory” is an important and chart-topping song. It will win, unless the Academy awards “Everything is Awesome” to make up for their mistake of not nominating The LEGO Movie for Best Animated Feature Film.

 

Best Visual Effects

Will Win: Interstellar  

Should Win: Interstellar

Other Nominees: Captain America: The Winter Soldier, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, Guardians of the Galaxy, X-Men: Days of Future Past

Should Have Been Nominated: Godzilla

My thoughts: Interstellar brilliantly captured the look of space travel. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes equally deserves to win for its exceptional motion captures effects.

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Should Win: Any of them

Other Nominees: Foxcatcher, Guardians of the Galaxy

Should Have Been Nominated: Into the Woods

My thoughts: All three nominees are deserving, but why does this category only have three nominees?

 

Best Sound Mixing

Will Win: Whiplash

Should Win: Whiplash

Other Nominees: American Sniper, Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance), Interstellar, Unbroken

Should Have Been Nominated: Godzilla, Nightcrawler

My thoughts: Whiplash is only nominated in one of the two sound categories, which I think gives it more weight to win because of its overall sound achievements.

 

Best Sound Editing

Will Win: American Sniper

Should Win: American Sniper

Other Nominees: Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance), The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies, Interstellar, Unbroken

Should Have Been Nominated: Godzilla, Fury

My thoughts: The sound category wins often go to war films, and American Sniper was a box office heavyweight. But don’t count out Birdman.

 

Best Short Film – Animated

Will Win: Feast

Should Win: Feast

Other Nominees: The Bigger Picture, The Dam Keeper, A Single Life, Me and My Moulton

Should Have Been Nominated: No comment.

My thoughts: Feast was an adorable little short that audiences loved.

 

Best Short Film – Live-Action

Will Win: The Phone Call

Should Win: No Comment.

Other Nominees: Boogaloo and Graham, Butter Lamp, Parvaneh, Aya

Should Have Been Nominated: No comment.

My thoughts: I didn’t see any of these, but the word on the street is that The Phone Call is the favorite to win.

 

Best Short Film – Documentary

Will Win: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1

Should Win: No Comment.

Other Nominees: Joanna, Our Curse, White Earth, The Reaper

Should Have Been Nominated: No comment.

My thoughts: I didn’t see any of these, but Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1 is the favorite to win according to “Oscar experts.”

 

So there you have it! Do you agree with my predictions? Who do you want to see win at the Oscars? Sound off in the comments section below.

Your Vote

0 0

Lost Password

Please enter your username or email address. You will receive a link to create a new password via email.

Sign Up