Daniel Rester’s October Nomination Predictions for the 96th Oscars

A new month brings new changes to my nomination predictions for the 96th Oscars. Since my last predictions in September, some interesting shakeups have happened. This includes Lily Gladstone now campaigning in Lead Actress instead of Supporting Actress and France choosing The Taste of Things over Anatomy of a Fall as its international submission.

It’s still currently looking like Oppenheimer is going to have a big night at the Oscars, with Poor Things likely being its biggest threat. Audiences have still yet to see Napoleon, The Iron Claw, and The Color Purple. Those films could further shake up the Oscars field that is starting to come together following the recent festivals.

Here are all of my Oscar predictions as of now, minus the short film categories. The *** indicates who I think will be the winner in each category. I also include nomination and win totals at the bottom.

Side note: Yes, Barbie might be campaigning in Original Screenplay, but I believe the Academy will shift it to Adapted Screenplay since it is clearly based off of a previous property. This has happened before with other films, such as Moonlight (2016).

Best Picture

Anatomy of a Fall 

American Fiction 

Barbie 

The Color Purple 

The Holdovers 

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

***Oppenheimer

Past Lives 

Poor Things

Other Possibilities:

Napoleon 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

The Zone of Interest

Best Director

Alexander Payne – The Holdovers

***Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest

Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things

Other Possibilities:

Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple 

Greta Gerwig – Barbie

Justine Triet – Anatomy of a Fall

Best Actress

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

***Emma Stone – Poor Things

Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple

Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall 

Other Possibilities: 

Annette Bening – Nyad

Greta Lee – Past Lives 

Margot Robbie – Barbie

Best Actor

***Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Colman Domingo – Rustin

Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon 

Other Possibilities: 

Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers 

Barry Keoghan – Saltburn

Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actress

***Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple

Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

Penelope Cruz – Ferrari

Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple

Other Possibilities: 

Jodie Foster – Nyad

Julianne Moore – May December

Viola Davis – Air

Best Supporting Actor

Jeremy Allen White – The Iron Claw

Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things 

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

***Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer 

Ryan Gosling – Barbie 

Other Possibilities: 

Charles Melton – May December

Colman Domingo – The Color Purple

Willem Dafoe – Poor Things

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Fiction 

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Oppenheimer

***Poor Things

Other Possibilities: 

All of Us Strangers 

The Color Purple 

The Zone of Interest 

Best Original Screenplay

Anatomy of a Fall 

The Holdovers

Maestro

May December 

***Past Lives

Other Possibilities: 

Air

Rustin

Saltburn

Best Cinematography 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Maestro 

***Oppenheimer 

Poor Things 

The Zone of Interest 

Other Possibilities: 

El Conde

Napoleon 

Saltburn 

Best Costume Design 

Barbie 

The Color Purple 

Napoleon 

***Poor Things 

Wonka 

Other Possibilities: 

Asteroid City 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

Best Editing 

Anatomy of a Fall 

The Holdovers 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

***Oppenheimer 

Poor Things 

Other Possibilities: 

The Color Purple 

Ferrari 

Maestro 

Best Production Design 

***Barbie 

The Color Purple 

Oppenheimer 

Poor Things 

Wonka

Other Possibilities:

Asteroid City 

Killers of the Flower Moon 

Napoleon 

Best Animated Feature 

The Boy and the Heron 

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nuggets 

The Peasants 

***Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Wish 

Other Possibilities:

Elemental 

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Barbie

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

Maestro 

Napoleon 

***Poor Things

Other Possibilities: 

The Color Purple 

Rustin 

Wonka

Best Sound

The Color Purple 

Ferrari 

Maestro 

***Oppenheimer

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Other Possibilities: 

The Creator 

Killers of the Flower Moon

The Zone of Interest

Best Visual Effects

***The Creator

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

The Little Mermaid

The Marvels

Oppenheimer

Other Possibilities: 

Poor Things

Rebel Moon

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Original Score

The Color Purple

***Killers of the Flower Moon 

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Other Possibilities: 

The Boy and the Heron

Elemental

Past Lives

Best Original Song

“Gonna Be You” – 80 for Brady

“I’m Just Ken” – Barbie

***”This Wish” – Wish

Untitled Original Song – The Color Purple

“What Was I Made For?” – Barbie

Other Possibilities: 

“Better Place” – Trolls Band Together

“Road to Freedom” – Rustin

“Steal the Show” – Elemental 

Best Documentary Feature

American Symphony

***Beyond Utopia

The Eternal Memory

The Mission 

20 Days in Mariupol

Other Possibilities: 

Anselm

The Deepest Breath 

The Pigeon Tunnel 

Best International Feature

About Dry Grasses – Turkey

Society of the Snow – Spain

The Taste of Things – France

The Teachers’ Lounge – Germany

***The Zone of Interest – United Kingdom

Other Possibilities: 

Io Capitano – Italy

The Monk and the Gun – Bhutan

Perfect Days – Japan 

Total Nomination and Win Counts: 

Oppenheimer – 12 nominations, winning 6

Poor Things – 11 nominations, winning 4

Killers of the Flower Moon – 9 nominations, winning 1

The Color Purple – 9 nominations, winning 1

Barbie – 8 nominations, winning 1

Maestro – 7 nominations, winning 1

The Holdovers – 5 nominations, winning 0

Anatomy of a Fall – 4 nominations, winning 0

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – 3 nominations, winning 1

The Zone of Interest – 3 nominations, winning 1

American Fiction – 3 nominations, winning 0

Past Lives – 2 nominations, winning 1

Wish – 2 nominations, winning 1

Wonka – 2 nominations, winning 0

Ferrari – 2 nominations, winning 0

Napoleon – 2 nominations, winning 0

The Creator – 1 nomination, winning 1

Beyond Utopia – 1 nomination, winning 1

Rustin – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Iron Claw – 1 nomination, winning 0

May December – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Boy and the Heron – 1 nomination, winning 0 

Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nuggets – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Peasants – 1 nomination, winning 0

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Little Mermaid – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Marvels – 1 nomination, winning 0

American Symphony – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Eternal Memory – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Mission – 1 nomination, winning 0

20 Days in Mariupol – 1 nomination, winning 0

About Dry Grasses – 1 nomination, winning 0

Society of the Snow – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Taste of Things – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Teachers’ Lounge – 1 nomination, winning 0

80 for Brady – 1 nomination, winning 0

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes – 1 nomination, winning 0

Written by
Daniel Rester is a writer for the We Live Film portion of We Live Entertainment. He is a Southern Oregon University alumnus and has a Bachelor of Science degree with a double major in Communication (Film, Television, and Convergent Media) and Emerging Media and Digital Arts. He has been involved with writing and directing short films for years. Rester also won 2nd place in the Feature Screenplay Competition in the 2015 Oregon Film Awards for his screenplay "Emma Was Here," which is currently in post-production and will be Rester's feature directorial debut.

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