After months of guessing and watching the ups and downs of awards season, here are my final predictions for who will be nominated for the 98th Oscars. The nominations will be revealed on Thursday, January 22nd.
*** = my prediction for the winner in each category as of now.
Total nomination and win counts for each film located below all of the categories.
Best Picture
Bugonia – Focus Features
Frankenstein – Netflix
Hamnet – Focus Features
It Was Just an Accident – Neon
Marty Supreme – A24
***One Battle After Another – Warner Bros. Pictures
The Secret Agent – Neon
Sentimental Value – Neon
Sinners – Warner Bros. Pictures
Train Dreams – Netflix
Best Director
Chloé Zhao – Hamnet
Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident
Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme
Kleber Mendonça Filho – The Secret Agent
***Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another
Best Actress
Emma Stone – Bugonia
***Jessie Buckley – Hamnet
Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue
Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value
Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
Best Actor
Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon
Jesse Plemons – Bugonia
Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another
***Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme
Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Madigan – Weapons
Gwyneth Paltrow – Marty Supreme
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value
***Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another
Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners
Best Supporting Actor
Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another
Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein
Paul Mescal – Hamnet
Sean Penn – One Battle After Another
***Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value
Best Original Screenplay
It Was Just an Accident
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
***Sinners
Sorry, Baby
Best Adapted Screenplay
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
***One Battle After Another
Train Dreams
Best Casting
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
***Sinners
Best International Feature
It Was Just an Accident – France
Left-Handed Girl – Taiwan
No Other Choice – South Korea
***The Secret Agent – Brazil
Sentimental Value – Norway
Best Documentary Feature
Cover-Up
Cutting Through Rocks
***My Undesirable Friends: Part I – Last Air in Moscow
Seeds
2000 Meters to Andriivka
Best Animated Feature
Arco
Elio
KPop Demon Hunters
Little Amelie or the Character of Rain
***Zootopia 2
Best Cinematography
Frankenstein
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
Sinners
***Train Dreams
Best Editing
F1
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
***One Battle After Another
Sinners
Best Production Design
***Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
Sinners
Wicked: For Good
Best Costume Design
***Frankenstein
Hedda
Kiss of the Spider Woman
Sinners
Wicked: For Good
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
***Frankenstein
One Battle After Another
The Smashing Machine
The Ugly Stepsister
Wicked: For Good
Best Visual Effects
***Avatar: Fire and Ash
F1
The Lost Bus
Superman
Wicked: For Good
Best Sound
Avatar: Fire and Ash
F1
Frankenstein
***Sinners
Sirat
Best Original Score
Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
***One Battle After Another
Sinners
Best Original Song
“Dear Me” – Diane Warren: Relentless
“The Girl in the Bubble” – Wicked: For Good
“Golden” – KPop Demon Hunters
***“I Lied to You” – Sinners
“Train Dreams” – Train Dreams
Best Documentary Short
***All the Empty Rooms
Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud
Bad Hostage
Chasing Time
Rovina’s Choice
Best Animated Short
Cardboard
Eiru
The Girl Who Cried Pearls
Playing God
***Snow Bear
Best Live Action Short
Beyond Silence
Extremist
Rock, Paper, Scissors
***The Singers
Two People Exchanging Saliva
Total Nomination and Win Counts:
One Battle After Another – 12 nominations, 6 wins
Sinners – 11 nominations, 4 wins
Frankenstein – 10 nominations, 3 wins
Hamnet – 9 nominations, 1 win
Marty Supreme – 9 nominations, 1 win
Sentimental Value – 6 nominations, 1 win
Bugonia – 5 nominations, 0 wins
Wicked: For Good – 5 nominations, 0 wins
The Secret Agent – 4 nominations, 1 win
Train Dreams – 4 nominations, 1 win
It Was Just an Accident – 4 nominations, 0 wins
F1 – 3 nominations, 0 wins
Avatar: Fire and Ash – 2 nominations, 1 win
KPop Demon Hunters – 2 nominations, 0 wins
Zootopia 2 – 1 nomination, 1 win
My Undesirable Friends: Part I – Last Air in Moscow – 1 nomination, 1 win
All the Empty Rooms – 1 nomination, 1 win
Snow Bear – 1 nomination, 1 win
The Singers – 1 nomination, 1 win
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Song Sung Blue – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Blue Moon – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Weapons – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Sorry, Baby – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Left-Handed Girl – 1 nomination, 0 wins
No Other Choice – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Cover-Up – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Cutting Through Rocks – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Seeds – 1 nomination, 0 wins
2000 Meters to Andriivka – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Arco – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Elio – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Little Amelie or the Character of Rain – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Hedda – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Kiss of the Spider Woman – 1 nomination, 0 wins
The Smashing Machine – 1 nomination, 0 wins
The Ugly Stepsister – 1 nomination, 0 wins
The Lost Bus – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Superman – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Sirat – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Diane Warren: Relentless – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Bad Hostage – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Chasing Time – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Rovina’s Choice – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Cardboard – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Eiru – 1 nomination, 0 wins
The Girl Who Cried Pearls – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Playing God – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Beyond Silence – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Extremist – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Rock, Paper, Scissors – 1 nomination, 0 wins
Two People Exchanging Saliva – 1 nomination, 0 wins
