Well, what a week this has been, huh? After one (unplanned) week off, we have more to discuss than ever in an 2023 Academy Awards predictions piece, and let’s start with the news that had the whole town abuzz yesterday – the announcement of the category placements for the cast of Babylon. Early Thursday morning, Paramount’s FYC page initially listed Brad Pitt in Best Actor, Margot Robbie in Best Actress, and Diego Calva in Best Supporting Actor (with Jovan Adepo and Tobey Maguire joining Calva in his category, and Jean Smart and Li Jun Li being ran in Best Supporting Actress). This caught most of us off-guard as, no matter what other placements had been debated in recent weeks (Robbie’s in particular generated a lot of discussion, especially with category fraud running rampant this year), it had seemed universally agreed upon that Diego Calva was the lead of the film, through and through. Those who have read the script have maintained that we start and end the film with his character Manny and that he’s the primary focal point of the plot (beliefs corroborated by test screening reactions), so putting him in Supporting felt like one of the most egregious cases of category fraud we’ve maybe ever seen – and that’s before getting into the optics of how ugly it looks to elevate his white co-star with (supposedly) less screen time above him. Perhaps there’s a world where both Pitt and Calva could’ve been campaigned in Lead, but it seemed that there was no rational explanation for submitting Calva below his Oscar-winning scene partner.
Variety came to the rescue only a few hours later – stating that the placements initially published on the studio’s FYC site were “errors” – and confirmed that Calva and Robbie would campaign for Best Actor and Best Actress, while Pitt would be submitted for Best Supporting Actor (and the rest of the cast’s placements remained unchanged). Given that I – and many others – have already had Calva in Lead and Pitt in Supporting for weeks, this doesn’t change how I view their places in their individual races (aside from perhaps giving Calva a bit more publicity), but with Robbie officially being confirmed to be campaigned as “Lead,” that takes her out of the Supporting conversation for sure, which once again makes that chaotic category a free-for-all. In Robbie’s absence, I’ve done a significant amount of shifting, especially since I had the chance to see both The Banshees of Inisherin (liked!) and Women Talking (LOVED) this past week, giving me a better grasp on the performances from Kerry Condon, Jessie Buckley, and Claire Foy – the three actresses I currently see as the most likely to take home the trophy here. But while most pundits are either Team Buckley or Team Foy, I’m taking the road less traveled and following Oscar Central’s Adriano Caporusso, who has been predicting Kerry Condon to prevail in this category for a few weeks now, as soon as Michelle Williams left the conversation.
What’s the case for Condon? Well, for starters, she has a role that the Best Supporting Actress category absolutely adores – that of a scene-stealing standout who sometimes even inexplicably pulls focus from the “main stars” and balances baity (and often comically biting) outbursts with deceptively brutal emotional beats. She’s been singled out as a favorite from the film since The Banshees of Inisherin premiered at the Venice International Film Festival, and some have even gone so far as to say she’s their personal preference over Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleeson – and even those who aren’t as head over heels for the film as everyone else can come away raving about her. I also had it pointed out to me recently by Matthew Anderson, a fellow Oscar predictor in the Film Twitter-sphere, that, ever since 2014, every Best Supporting Actress winner has been their film’s only win (Boyhood‘s Patricia Arquette, The Danish Girl‘s Alicia Vikander, Fences‘ Viola Davis, I, Tonya‘s Allison Janney, If Beale Street Could Talk‘s Regina King, Marriage Story‘s Laura Dern, Minari‘s Youn Yuh-jung, and West Side Story‘s Ariana DeBose). In other words, Best Supporting Actress is quickly becoming the “consolation prize category.” So, if you don’t think Banshees will win anywhere else (and I currently don’t, as I have Everything Everywhere All at Once topping it in Best Supporting Actor and Best Original Screenplay, with Brendan Fraser still besting Colin Farrell in Best Actor), this could be how voters honor one of the year’s most beloved films.
Can a Women Talking actress still take this, though? It’s tough to say. We’ve all heard for months how uniformly exceptional this ensemble is and how hard it is to separate one actor from another, but even then, I was not prepared for how powerful every single performance is in this. I do agree with most that Claire Foy and Jessie Buckley have the biggest/baitiest parts – Foy gets the show-stopping monologues, while Buckley has the most affecting character arc – but I struggle to see enough people solidifying around one of them to make either a true contender for the win (I would also say that Condon maybe has more to do individually than Foy and Buckley do on their own, on account of being part of an ensemble). This feels more like a Doubt/The Favourite situation as opposed to a The Fighter/The Help situation – where two co-stars are equally acclaimed enough to both earn Best Supporting Actress nominations, but they can’t break apart from one another, as Melissa Leo and Octavia Spencer did from Amy Adams and Jessica Chastain for The Fighter and The Help, respectively (however, if a Women Talking actress does win, we’ll have to take it even more seriously as a Best Picture winner, since it’s already also the frontrunner in Best Adapted Screenplay too). I have The Whale‘s Hong Chau (who is having a year between this, The Menu, and Showing Up and should coattail the Best Actor frontrunner) and She Said‘s Carey Mulligan (whose nomination here would help keep She Said in the Best Picture race, since it’s already seemingly secured a spot in the weak Adapted Screenplay field) joining Condon, Buckley, and Foy.
But let’s jump back to our Best Actress discussion, especially since Robbie is now confirmed to be campaigned here. I hesitate to see a world in which she doesn’t make it – she’s a two-time nominee, one of the biggest movie stars at the moment, and will be headlining a huge Best Picture contender – so I think that makes her one of the middle-of-the-pack contenders behind Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh, our two frontrunners. At the start of the season, I had Robbie ahead here – sight unseen – but with how the season has shaken out and how certain narratives have solidified (Blanchett having “the performance of the year,” Yeoh experiencing her “career coronation”), I think Robbie lacks an additional impetus to earn votes beyond simply “giving a great performance,” and she will likely struggle by not being the undeniable lead of her movie the way Blanchett and Yeoh are (she’ll have to share screen time and focus with Calva and Pitt). Behind her, I still have The Fabelmans‘ Michelle Williams (I know some people are worried about her, but she’s another huge star headlining a top-tier Best Picture contender, so I can’t get on board with her missing just yet), and I’m keeping Till‘s Danielle Deadwyler too, though I will admit that Robbie’s official placement here has me a bit worried for her – not because her performance isn’t deserving (I’ve already discussed how powerful I believe it to be in-depth), but because she’s a fresh face in a film that could likely be underseen, and I can see her being snubbed by Empire of Light‘s Olivia Colman or even The Woman King‘s Viola Davis, as both of these women are former winners (and Academy faves) in films that have “higher profiles.”
Another update you’ll find in Best Actress is that I’ve officially switched over to Michelle Yeoh as my frontrunner, after much deliberation between her and Cate Blanchett these past few weeks. I think this is an incredibly close race – likely the closest acting race this year – but there are a few factors that have swayed me towards Yeoh. For one, I’ve been on the Everything Everywhere All at Once train all season (and really, since the spring), and it just feels… weird to predict the film to have this much passion (so much so that both the writers/directors and her co-star Ke Huy Quan get recognized) but not enough for her, too. But secondly, I think that the SAG Awards could sway this race in a major way – much like they did last year for CODA and Jessica Chastain. This year, the SAG Awards (which take place on February 26, 2023) are the last major precursor, following the Golden Globe Awards (January 10, 2023), the Critics Choice Awards (January 15, 2023), the DGA Awards (February 18, 2023), the BAFTAs (February 19, 2023), and the PGA Awards (February 25, 2023). Additionally, they take place only a few days before Oscar winner voting begins on March 2, 2023. And I have a hunch that Yeoh – and Everything Everywhere All at Once – will perform VERY well with the SAG voting body. They’re more “forgiving” of genre films, they favor fresh and diverse ensembles, and since I also have EEAAO ahead in their top category (and in Best Supporting Actor, for Ke Huy Quan), I can see that enthusiasm extend to Yeoh as well. And once she gives her speech (which will likely at least be her second major one of the season, following her probable victory at the Golden Globes for Actress in a Comedy or Musical), that could seal the deal.
Other odds and ends this week include:
- Could we be underestimating Charlotte Wells’ Aftersun this season? Initially, many pundits (myself included) considered the film to be more of an indie awards play, particularly because A24 would likely have their hands full with more accessible/”broadly appealing” contenders like Everything Everywhere All at Once and The Whale, which were already becoming frontrunners in several key Oscar races. However, Aftersun has proved to be the little engine that could, quietly becoming the most acclaimed movie of the year on Metacritic (with a 95 Metascore) and earning a 97% on Rotten Tomatoes as well. Oh, and did we mention that it scored the second highest number of nominations at this year’s Gotham Awards with four (only behind TÁR‘s five), in the categories of Best Feature, Outstanding Lead Performance (for Paul Mescal), Breakthrough Director (for Wells), and Breakthrough Performer (for newcomer Frankie Corio)? I want to see how Aftersun performs with the guilds and other precursors before slotting it in any Oscar line-ups for sure, but this could definitely be an underdog, particularly for Mescal in Best Actor (the field is very thin) and maybe even Wells in Best Original Screenplay (although that category is a bit more crowded).
- Is Netflix’s best bet in Best Picture actually… Guillermo del Toro‘s Pinocchio? After the film premiered at the BFI London Film Festival to a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes (with an 8.8/10 average rating) and a 93 on Metacritic, it sure is sitting pretty, and it’s only further solidified its standing as the Best Animated Feature frontrunner. Plus, when you start to see how strong of a contender it is in several other categories as well – such as Best Original Score and Best Visual Effects, and maybe even Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Production Design – the path to Best Picture becomes a lot clearer. Word is that Netflix still believes Glass Onion is their best Best Picture play, but will voters feel differently?
- Continuing on this Netflix tangent, the early word is also that, alongside Glass Onion, they’re not giving up on Alejandro González Iñárritu’s BARDO just yet, and it remains their primary push in Best Director and Best International Feature Film – at the expense of Edward Berger’s All Quiet on the Western Front. This news – along with Decision to Leave‘s considerable critical acclaim and solid commercial success thus far – has me feeling that the Park Chan-wook film is our current Best International Feature Film frontrunner, especially since I believe that Park is the most likely contender to upset the “consensus” top five in Best Director right now (Spielberg, Daniels, Chazelle, Field, Polley) as the yearly “international pick,” which would further elevate Decision‘s profile. I’m still not sure who I’d drop from that five to make room for Park – most would say Polley, though I think some pundits are consistently underselling her work on Women Talking – but I’m certainly keeping my eye on him.
BEST PICTURE
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
3. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+3)
4. Women Talking (UAR/Orion)
5. Babylon (Paramount Pictures) (-2)
6. TÁR (Focus Features) (+1)
7. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) (-2)
8. The Whale (A24)
9. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
10. She Said (Universal Pictures)
ALTERNATES:
11. Triangle of Sadness (NEON)
12. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) (NEW)
13. Aftersun (A24) (NEW)
14. The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing) (-2)
15. Elvis (Warner Bros.) (-2)
16. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) (-2)
17. Decision to Leave (MUBI) (+1)
18. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) (-2)
19. Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
20. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) (-5)
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (+1)
3. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) (-1)
4. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features)
5. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)
ALTERNATES:
6. Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (+2)
7. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+2)
8. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (-2)
9. James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) (-2)
10. Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) (NEW)
BEST ACTOR
1. Brendan Fraser – The Whale (A24)
2. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+1)
3. Austin Butler – Elvis (Warner Bros.) (-1)
4. Bill Nighy – Living (Sony Pictures Classics) (+1)
5. Diego Calva – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) (+2)
ALTERNATES:
6. Hugh Jackman – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) (-2)
7. Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) (-1)
8. Paul Mescal – Aftersun (A24) (NEW)
9. Adam Driver – White Noise (Netflix)
10. Will Smith – Emancipation (Apple TV+)
BEST ACTRESS
1. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (+1)
2. Cate Blanchett – TÁR (Focus Features) (-1)
3. Margot Robbie – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) (NEW)
4. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. Danielle Deadwyler – Till (UAR/Orion) (-2)
ALTERNATES:
6. Olivia Colman – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)
7. Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Sony Pictures Releasing)
8. Viola Davis – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing) (-2)
9. Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)
10. Jennifer Lawrence – Causeway (Apple TV+) (-1)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
3. Brad Pitt – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
4. Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
ALTERNATES:
6. Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+1)
7. Ben Whishaw – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (-1)
8. Micheal Ward – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
9. Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway (Apple TV+)
10. Jeremy Strong – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin (A24) (+3)
2. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (+1)
3. Claire Foy – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (-1)
4. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24) (+1)
5. Carey Mulligan – She Said (Universal Pictures) (+1)
ALTERNATES:
6. Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) (+1)
7. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (NEW)
8. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (+1)
9. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features) (+1)
10. Janelle Monáe – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) (-2)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) (+1)
3. Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) (-1)
4. Ruben Östlund – Triangle of Sadness (NEON)
5. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features)
ALTERNATES:
6. Damien Chazelle – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
7. Charlotte Wells – Aftersun (A24) (NEW)
8. Jeong Seo-kyeong and Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave (MUBI) (-1)
9. James Gray – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
10. Sam Mendes – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-2)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Sarah Polley – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)
2. Samuel D. Hunter – The Whale (A24)
3. Rian Johnson – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
4. Rebecca Lenkiewicz – She Said (Universal Pictures)
5. Noah Baumbach – White Noise (Netflix)
ALTERNATES:
6. Guillermo del Toro, Patrick McHale, and Matthew Robbins – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) (NEW)
7. Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie, and Eric Warren Singer – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) (-1)
8. Edward Berger, Lesley Patterson, and Ian Stokell – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
9. Kazuo Ishiguro – Living (Sony Pictures Classics)
10. David Kajganich – Bones and All (MGM/UAR)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. Russell Carpenter – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
2. Linus Sandgren – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
3. Roger Deakins – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
4. Janusz Kamiński – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. James Friend – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
ALTERNATES:
6. Darius Khondji – BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix)
7. Greig Fraser – The Batman (Warner Bros.)
8. Claudio Miranda – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
9. Ben Davis – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
10. Autumn Durald Arkapaw – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Mary Zophres – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
2. Catherine Martin – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
3. Ruth E. Carter – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
4. Mark Bridges – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. Gersha Phillips – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)
ALTERNATES:
6. Jenny Beavan – Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Focus Features)
7. Shirley Kurata – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
8. Arianne Phillips – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros.)
9. Albert Wolsky – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
10. Alexandra Byrne – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
BEST FILM EDITING
1. Paul Rogers – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. Eddie Hamilton – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
3. Tom Cross – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
4. Sarah Broshar – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
ALTERNATES:
6. Sven Budelmann – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
7. David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua, and Stephen E. Rivkin – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
8. Roslyn Kalloo – Women Talking (UAR/Orion)
9. Bob Ducsay – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
10. Monika Willi – TÁR (Focus Features)
BEST MAKEUP/HAIRSTYLING
1. TBD – The Whale (A24)
2. Jason Baird, Mark Coulier, Louise Coulston, and Shane Thomas – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
3. Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, and Zoe Tahir – The Batman (Warner Bros.)
4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
5. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
ALTERNATES:
6. TBD – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) (+1)
7. TBD – Blonde (Netflix) (-1)
8. TBD – X (A24)
9. TBD – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing)
10. TBD – Thor: Love and Thunder (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. John Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Justin Hurwitz – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
3. Hildur Guðnadóttir – Women Talking (UAR/Orion) (+1)
4. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)
5. Alexandre Desplat – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
ALTERNATES:
6. Simon Franglen – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
7. Michael Giacchino – The Batman (Warner Bros.)
8. Carter Burwell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
9. Volker Bertelmann – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
10. Danny Elfman – White Noise (Netflix) (NEW)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1. “Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) (+1)
2. “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) (-1)
3. “Naatu Naatu” – RRR (Sarigama Cinemas)
4. “Nobody Like U” – Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)
5. “Applause” – Tell It Like a Woman (Samuel Goldwyn Films)
ALTERNATES:
6. “New Body Rhumba” – White Noise (Netflix)
7. “This Is A Life” – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) (+2)
8. “Stand Up” – Till (UAR/Orion)
9. “Carried Away” – Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile (Sony Pictures Releasing) (NEW)
10. “On My Way” – Marry Me (Universal Pictures)
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. Florencia Martin (Production Design) and Anthony Carlino (Set Decoration) – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
2. Dylan Cole and Ben Procter (Production Design) and Vanessa Cole (Set Decoration) – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
3. Hannah Beachler (Production Design) and Lisa K. Sessions (Set Decoration) – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
4. Rick Carter (Production Design) and Karen O’Hara (Set Decoration) – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
5. Catherine Martin (Production Design) and Beverley Dunn (Set Decoration) – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
ALTERNATES:
6. TBD (Production Design) and TBD (Set Decoration) – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) (NEW)
7. Christian M. Goldbeck (Production Design) and Ernestine Hipper (Set Decoration) – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) (-1)
8. Akin McKenzie (Production Design) and TBD (Set Decoration) – The Woman King (Sony Pictures Releasing) (-1)
9. Mark Tildesley (Production Design) and Patricia Cuccia (Set Decoration) – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) (-1)
10. Rick Heinrichs (Production Design) and Elli Griff (Set Decoration) – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) (-1)
BEST SOUND
1. Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Mark Taylor, and Mark Weingarten – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
2. TBD – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)
3. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
4. William Files, Douglas Murray, Andy Nelson, and Stuart Wilson – The Batman (Warner Bros.)
5. TBD – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
ALTERNATES:
6. Michael Keller, David Lee, Andy Nelson, and Wayne Pashley – Elvis (Warner Bros.)
7. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
8. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
9. Paul “Salty” Brincat, Chris Burdon, William Miller, Oliver Tarney, and Rachael Tate – Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios/MGM)
10. Michele Gualdrini, Geoff Maxwell, and Jim Morgan – Bones and All (MGM/UAR) (NEW)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. TBD – Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
2. TBD – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
3. Scott R. Fisher, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson, and Ryan Tudhope – Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
4. TBD – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
5. TBD – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
ALTERNATES:
6. TBD – Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
7. Russell Earl, Anders Langlands, Dan Lemmon, and Dominic Tuohy – The Batman (Warner Bros.)
8. TBD – Nope (Universal Pictures)
9. TBD – Thor: Love and Thunder (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
10. TBD – Three Thousand Years of Longing (MGM/UAR)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
2. Strange World (Walt Disney/Walt Disney Animation)
3. Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)
4. My Father’s Dragon (Netflix)
5. The Bad Guys (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)
ALTERNATES:
6. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (A24)
7. The Sea Beast (Netflix)
8. Wendell & Wild (Netflix)
9. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation)
10. Lightyear (Walt Disney/Pixar Animation)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. Navalny (Warner Bros.)
2. Fire of Love (National Geographic Documentary Films/NEON)
3. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (NEON)
4. Descendant (Netflix)
5. Moonage Daydream (NEON)
ALTERNATES:
6. Good Night Oppy (Amazon Studios)
7. Sr. (Netflix)
8. Sidney (Apple TV+)
9. The Territory (National Geographic Documentary Films)
10. Black Ice (Elevation Pictures)
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
1. Decision to Leave (MUBI) – South Korea (+1)
2. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – Germany (-1)
3. Close (A24) – Belgium
4. BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix) – Mexico
5. Saint Omer (TBD) – France
ALTERNATES:
6. Klondike (TBD) – Ukraine
7. Holy Spider (Utopia) – Denmark
8. Argentina, 1985 (Amazon Studios) – Argentina
9. EO (TBD) – Poland
10. Boy from Heaven (TBD) – Sweden
WIN/NOMINATION TALLIES
- Babylon (2 wins/12 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Original Score
- Best Production Design
- Best Sound
- The Fabelmans (2 wins/11 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Original Score
- Best Production Design
- Everything Everywhere All at Once (5 wins/7 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Film Editing
- Best Visual Effects
- Women Talking (1 win/6 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Best Original Score
- The Banshees of Inisherin (1 win/5 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Actor
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- Top Gun: Maverick (1 win/5 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Film Editing
- Best Original Song
- Best Sound
- Best Visual Effects
- The Whale (2 wins/5 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Actor
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Avatar: The Way of Water (2 wins/5 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Cinematography
- Best Production Design
- Best Sound
- Best Visual Effects
- Elvis (0 wins/5 nominations)
- Best Actor
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Production Design
- Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1 win/5 nominations)
- Best Costume Design
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Original Song
- Best Production Design
- Best Visual Effects
- TÁR (0 wins/4 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- She Said (0 wins/3 nominations)
- Best Picture
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (1 win/3 nominations)
- Best Animated Feature
- Best Original Score
- Best Visual Effects
- All Quiet on the Western Front (0 wins/3 nominations)
- Best Cinematography
- Best International Feature Film
- Best Sound
- Empire of Light (0 wins/2 nominations)
- Best Cinematography
- Best Original Score
- The Batman (0 wins/2 nominations)
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Sound
- Turning Red (0 wins/2 nominations)
- Best Animated Feature
- Best Original Song
- Living (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Actor
- Till (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Actress
- Triangle of Sadness (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Original Screenplay
- Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- White Noise (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Woman King (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Costume Design
- RRR (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Original Song
- Tell It Like a Woman (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Original Song
- Strange World (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Animated Feature
- My Father’s Dragon (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Animated Feature
- The Bad Guys (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Animated Feature
- Navalny (1 win/1 nomination)
- Best Documentary Feature
- Fire of Love (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Documentary Feature
- All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Documentary Feature
- Descendant (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Documentary Feature
- Moonage Daydream (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best Documentary Feature
- Decision to Leave (1 win/1 nomination)
- Best International Feature Film
- Close (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best International Feature Film
- BARDO, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best International Feature Film
- Saint Omer (0 wins/1 nomination)
- Best International Feature Film
